Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar
Updated
Diogo Marques beat Xavi Palomar 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Diogo Marques leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marques is 7-3 in their last 10, Palomar 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Diogo Marques a 69% favorite. At -167 the sportsbook implies 63% for Diogo Marques, 7 points below the model's 69%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Diogo Marques at -167 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Diogo Marques | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6289 | 6230 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1193 | ATP #1457 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 5 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 17-16 | 18-20 |
| UTR | 13.04 | 12.88 |
Head to head
Diogo Marques leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 | Spain Pontevedra |
Recent form
Diogo Marques, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tomas Curras Abasolo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Amadatus Admiraal | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Oleksii Krutykh | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Xavi Palomar | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Oscar Weightman | W | 7-6, 4-1 |
Xavi Palomar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Andrew Johnson | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Stefan Seifert | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Miguel Damas | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Diego Esteban Torres | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Jaume Casas Blasi | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner | W | 3-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Ivan Gakhov | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Noah Regas Luis | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Ivan Lopez Martos | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Diogo Marques | Xavi Palomar |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Perez Martin | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Joao Domingues | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-0, 6-2, L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar: quick answers
Who won Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar?
Diogo Marques beat Xavi Palomar 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Diogo Marques and Xavi Palomar?
Diogo Marques leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Diogo Marques 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 at Spain Pontevedra.
Who is in better form, Diogo Marques or Xavi Palomar?
Diogo Marques is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Xavi Palomar is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Diogo Marques and Xavi Palomar?
Diogo Marques is rated 6289 (ATP #1193) and Xavi Palomar is rated 6230 (ATP #1457). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Diogo Marques vs Xavi Palomar?
Diogo Marques is priced at -167 and Xavi Palomar at +118, which implies a 63% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Diogo Marques 7 points higher than the odds do (69% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.