Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Oleksii Krutykh beat Diogo Marques 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Oleksii Krutykh leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marques is 7-3 in their last 10, Krutykh 6-4.

Result: Oleksii Krutykh beat Diogo Marques 6-4, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Oleksii Krutykh a 85% favorite. At +738 the sportsbook implies 12% for Diogo Marques, 4 points below the model's 15%.

Model
15%
Book
12%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
85%
Book
96%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Diogo Marques at +738 · Model track record

Player comparison

Diogo MarquesOleksii Krutykh
Tennis Gauge rating62896553
Tour rankATP #1193ATP #412
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days2-24-2
Current streak5 Wins1 Loss
Season record17-1647-30
UTR12.9414.2

Head to head

Oleksii Krutykh leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh6-4, 6-4Portugal Maia

Recent form

Diogo Marques, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Tomas Curras Abasolo W6-1, 6-4
24.10.2026Amadatus Admiraal W6-3, 6-2
23.10.2026Taymur Muhammad W4-6, 6-2, 6-2
22.10.2026Rodrigo Leal W6-4, 7-6
21.10.2026Mihai Alexandru Coman W6-4, 3-6, 6-4
19.10.2026Jesse De Jager L6-3, 6-3
11.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh L6-4, 6-4
09.10.2026Sergio Callejon Hernando L6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Xavi Palomar W2-6, 6-3, 6-2
07.10.2026Oscar Weightman W7-6, 4-1

Oleksii Krutykh, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Carlos Taberner L6-3, 4-6, 7-6
18.10.2026Pedro Liborio W6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Milos Karol L6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Diogo Marques W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Luka Mikrut L6-7, 6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Javier Barranco Cosano W1-6, 6-4, 6-4
05.10.2026Filip Pieczonka W6-2, 4-6, 6-0
04.10.2026Francisco Rocha W6-7, 6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Petros Tsitsipas L7-6, 6-4
19.09.2026Menelaos Efstathiou W6-2, 1-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDiogo MarquesOleksii Krutykh
Joao Domingues 0-1
L 2-6, 6-0, 6-2
0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4

Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh: quick answers

Who won Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh?

Oleksii Krutykh beat Diogo Marques 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Diogo Marques and Oleksii Krutykh?

Oleksii Krutykh leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Oleksii Krutykh 6-4, 6-4 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Diogo Marques or Oleksii Krutykh?

Diogo Marques is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Oleksii Krutykh is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Diogo Marques and Oleksii Krutykh?

Diogo Marques is rated 6289 (ATP #1193) and Oleksii Krutykh is rated 6553 (ATP #412). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Diogo Marques vs Oleksii Krutykh?

Diogo Marques is priced at +738 and Oleksii Krutykh at -2500, which implies a 12% and 96% chance to win. The model rates Diogo Marques 4 points higher than the odds do (15% vs 12%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.