Jesse De Jager vs Diogo Marques
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Diogo Marques, giving them a 57% chance to win against Jesse De Jager (43%). Jesse De Jager leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jager is 6-4 in their last 10, Marques 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Diogo Marques a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Diogo Marques at -120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jesse De Jager | Diogo Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6295 | 6289 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1178 | ATP #1193 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 5 Wins |
| Season record | 29-19 | 17-16 |
| UTR | 13.08 | 12.94 |
Head to head
Jesse De Jager leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | 6-3, 6-3 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Jesse De Jager, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Aaron Eliscu | L | 6-4, 6-7, 1-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-4, 3-6, 4-0 |
| 20.08.2026 | Martin Van Der Meerschen | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-2 |
Diogo Marques, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tomas Curras Abasolo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Amadatus Admiraal | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Oleksii Krutykh | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Xavi Palomar | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Oscar Weightman | W | 7-6, 4-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jesse De Jager | Diogo Marques |
|---|---|---|
| Goncalo Marques | 0-1 L 6-0, 1-6, 1-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Hugo Maia | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-0 |
| Mihai Alexandru Coman | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Rodrigo Leal | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Stijn Hofman | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Taymur Muhammad | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
Jesse De Jager vs Diogo Marques: quick answers
Who will win Jesse De Jager vs Diogo Marques?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Diogo Marques, giving them a 57% chance to win against Jesse De Jager (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jesse De Jager and Diogo Marques?
Jesse De Jager leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Jesse De Jager 6-3, 6-3 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Jesse De Jager or Diogo Marques?
Jesse De Jager is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Diogo Marques is 7-3 (current streak: 5 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jesse De Jager and Diogo Marques?
Jesse De Jager is rated 6295 (ATP #1178) and Diogo Marques is rated 6289 (ATP #1193). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jesse De Jager vs Diogo Marques?
Jesse De Jager is priced at -120 and Diogo Marques at -120, which implies a 55% and 55% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.