Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis
Updated
Dimitris Sakellaridis beat Mattia Nannelli 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nannelli is 7-3 in their last 10, Sakellaridis 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Dimitris Sakellaridis a 81% favorite. At -294 the sportsbook implies 75% for Dimitris Sakellaridis, 7 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Dimitris Sakellaridis at -294 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mattia Nannelli | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6250 | 6450 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1365 | ATP #639 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 9-8 | 59-49 |
| UTR | 12.98 | 13.61 |
Head to head
Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 7-5, 6-3 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Mattia Nannelli, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | George Lazarov | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matei Florin Breazu | W | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Aleksandar Tolev | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alexander Vasilev | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rodion Chetverikov | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Andrea Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Aleksandar Konstantinov | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | David Tixhon | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Mikhail Osipov | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
Dimitris Sakellaridis, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Yuta Kikuchi | L | 6-1, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Oriol Roca Batalla | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jay Clarke | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Sergi Perez Contri | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Mattia Nannelli | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Zdenek Kolar | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Matyas Cerny | W | 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Robert Guna | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Matthew William Donald | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Mattia Nannelli 19% at +193
Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis: quick answers
Who won Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Dimitris Sakellaridis beat Mattia Nannelli 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mattia Nannelli and Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Dimitris Sakellaridis 7-5, 6-3 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Mattia Nannelli or Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Mattia Nannelli is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Dimitris Sakellaridis is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mattia Nannelli and Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Mattia Nannelli is rated 6250 (ATP #1365) and Dimitris Sakellaridis is rated 6450 (ATP #639). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mattia Nannelli vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Mattia Nannelli is priced at +193 and Dimitris Sakellaridis at -294, which implies a 34% and 75% chance to win. The model rates Dimitris Sakellaridis 7 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 75%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.