Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Jay Clarke

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 02:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jay Clarke, giving them a 85% chance to win against Dimitris Sakellaridis (15%). Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sakellaridis is 5-5 in their last 10, Clarke 6-4. At -455, the odds imply 82% for Jay Clarke, below the model's 85%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jay Clarke a 85% favorite. At -455 the sportsbook implies 82% for Jay Clarke, 3 points below the model's 85%.

Model
15%
Book
27%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Jay Clarke -455
Model
85%
Book
82%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jay Clarke at -455 · Model track record

Player comparison

Dimitris SakellaridisJay Clarke
Tennis Gauge rating64506665
Tour rankATP #639ATP #265
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days6-33-4
Current streak2 Losses3 Losses
Season record59-4939-32
UTR13.6114.56
Elo (52 weeks)–1439
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Dimitris Sakellaridis7-5, 4-6, 6-2Italy Florence

Recent form

Dimitris Sakellaridis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Yuta Kikuchi L6-1, 6-7, 7-5
22.10.2026Oriol Roca Batalla L6-1, 6-4
20.10.2026Jay Clarke W7-5, 4-6, 6-2
19.10.2026Sergi Perez Contri W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
18.10.2026Mattia Nannelli W7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko L6-1, 6-3
06.10.2026Zdenek Kolar L6-4, 6-4
05.10.2026Matyas Cerny W3-6, 6-1, 7-6
04.10.2026Robert Guna W7-5, 6-4
28.09.2026Matthew William Donald L7-5, 7-6

Jay Clarke, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Dimitris Sakellaridis L7-5, 4-6, 6-2
06.10.2026Gabriele Piraino L6-3, 6-1
30.09.2026Juan Cruz Martin Manzano L6-4, 6-4
29.09.2026Fabrizio Andaloro W6-2, 6-1
24.09.2026Giuseppe La Vela W6-1, 6-2
22.09.2026John Sperle W7-5, 6-3
19.09.2026Alejandro Moro Canas L6-3, 4-6, 6-2
18.09.2026Felix Gill W6-7, 6-1, 6-3
16.09.2026Petr Brunclik W6-1, 7-5
14.09.2026Jonas Forejtek W3-6, 6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDimitris SakellaridisJay Clarke
Dinko Dinev 2-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-0, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 6-7, 6-2
Ioannis Xilas 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Marvin Moeller 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 1-0
Thomas Faurel 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3

Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Jay Clarke: quick answers

Who will win Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Jay Clarke?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Jay Clarke, giving them a 85% chance to win against Dimitris Sakellaridis (15%).

What is the head-to-head record between Dimitris Sakellaridis and Jay Clarke?

Dimitris Sakellaridis leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Dimitris Sakellaridis 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Dimitris Sakellaridis or Jay Clarke?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Jay Clarke is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Dimitris Sakellaridis and Jay Clarke?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is rated 6450 (ATP #639) and Jay Clarke is rated 6665 (ATP #265). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Jay Clarke?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is priced at +271 and Jay Clarke at -455, which implies a 27% and 82% chance to win. The model rates Jay Clarke 3 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 82%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.