Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marianne Argyrokastriti, giving them a 68% chance to win against Denise Valente (32%). Argyrokastriti is 1-1 in their last 10, Valente 6-4. At +300, the odds imply 25% for Denise Valente, below the model's 32%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marianne Argyrokastriti a 68% favorite. At +300 the sportsbook implies 25% for Denise Valente, 7 points below the model's 32%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Denise Valente at +300 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | Denise Valente | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5800 | 6241 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2935 | WTA #1175 |
| Last 10 matches | 1-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 1-1 | 30-24 |
| UTR | 10.71 | 9.83 |
Head to head
Marianne Argyrokastriti and Denise Valente haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Marianne Argyrokastriti, last 2
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.07.2026 | Alessia Antici | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.06.2026 | Amelie Hejtmankova | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Denise Valente, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Marianna Argyrokastriti | L | 3-6, 7-5, 10-7 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aurora Deidda | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Anna Petkovic | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Marie Mettraux | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Anna Petkovic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Franziska Sziedat | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Eleonora Alvisi | W | 4-6, 7-6, 10-8 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andjela Colic | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 15.09.2026 | Alessandra Fiorillo | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Giulia Paterno | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente: quick answers
Who will win Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Marianne Argyrokastriti, giving them a 68% chance to win against Denise Valente (32%).
Have Marianne Argyrokastriti and Denise Valente played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Marianne Argyrokastriti or Denise Valente?
Marianne Argyrokastriti is 1-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Denise Valente is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Marianne Argyrokastriti and Denise Valente?
Marianne Argyrokastriti is rated 5800 (WTA #2935) and Denise Valente is rated 6241 (WTA #1175). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Marianne Argyrokastriti vs Denise Valente?
Marianne Argyrokastriti is priced at -526 and Denise Valente at +300, which implies a 84% and 25% chance to win. The model rates Denise Valente 7 points higher than the odds do (32% vs 25%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.