Harrison McElnea vs Deni Zmak
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Deni Zmak, giving them a 83% chance to win against Harrison McElnea (17%). Deni Zmak leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. McElnea is 3-7 in their last 10, Zmak 8-2. At 0, the odds imply -0% for Deni Zmak, below the model's 83%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Deni Zmak a 83% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Deni Zmak, 83 points below the model's 83%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: +83 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Deni Zmak at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Harrison McElnea | Deni Zmak | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6033 | 6286 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2684 | ATP #1208 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Current streak | 6 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 3-7 | 44-15 |
| UTR | 12.34 | 13.69 |
Head to head
Deni Zmak leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Deni Zmak | 6-1, 6-2 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Harrison McElnea, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jose Dominguez Alonso | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Deni Zmak | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Amadatus Admiraal | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Diego Fernandez Flores | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 29.08.2026 | Luca Bluett | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.08.2026 | William Mclennaghan | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | Jay Darvay | W | 5-0 |
| 25.08.2026 | Henry Bowden | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Kyle Mckay | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
Deni Zmak, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | L | 6-4, 5-7, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Diego Fernandez Flores | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Harrison McElnea | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Amadatus Admiraal | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Jose Dominguez Alonso | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.06.2026 | Paris Pouatcha | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.06.2026 | Noah Folkesson Doudy | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 25.06.2026 | Jose Murariu | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.06.2026 | Timeo Gaillard | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.06.2026 | Vojtech Vales | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Harrison McElnea | Deni Zmak |
|---|---|---|
| Amadatus Admiraal | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Diego Fernandez Flores | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Jose Dominguez Alonso | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-26: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-25: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-24: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-23: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-22: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
- 2026-10-21: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Harrison McElnea 17% at +830
Harrison McElnea vs Deni Zmak: quick answers
Who will win Harrison McElnea vs Deni Zmak?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Deni Zmak, giving them a 83% chance to win against Harrison McElnea (17%).
What is the head-to-head record between Harrison McElnea and Deni Zmak?
Deni Zmak leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Deni Zmak 6-1, 6-2 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Harrison McElnea or Deni Zmak?
Harrison McElnea is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Losses). Deni Zmak is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Harrison McElnea and Deni Zmak?
Harrison McElnea is rated 6033 (ATP #2684) and Deni Zmak is rated 6286 (ATP #1208). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Harrison McElnea vs Deni Zmak?
Harrison McElnea is priced at +830 and Deni Zmak at 0, which implies a 11% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Deni Zmak 83 points higher than the odds do (83% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.