Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (IX) II (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Deborah Chiesa beat Marta Lombardini 7-5, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Deborah Chiesa leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Chiesa is 3-7 in their last 10, Lombardini 6-4.

Result: Deborah Chiesa beat Marta Lombardini 7-5, 3-6, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Deborah Chiesa a 73% favorite. At -167 the sportsbook implies 63% for Deborah Chiesa, 11 points below the model's 73%.

Model
73%
Book
63%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model
27%
Book
48%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Deborah Chiesa at -167 · Model track record

Player comparison

Deborah ChiesaMarta Lombardini
Tennis Gauge rating66726545
Tour rankWTA #311WTA #475
Last 10 matches3-76-4
Last 30 days1-111-2
Current streak2 Losses2 Losses
Season record37-2532-21
UTR11.6811.22
Elo (52 weeks)1371–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Deborah Chiesa leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Deborah Chiesa7-5, 3-6, 7-6Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Deborah Chiesa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
12.10.2026Julia Grabher L3-6, 6-4, 6-4
09.10.2026Lisa Zaar L6-4, 6-3
08.10.2026Marta Lombardini W7-5, 3-6, 7-6
07.10.2026Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W6-0, 6-3
14.09.2026Lucija Ciric Bagaric L4-6, 6-4, 6-2
07.9.2026Lucija Ciric Bagaric L3-6, 6-2, 6-2
06.09.2026Diana Martynov W6-3, 6-3
25.08.2026Jana Kovackova L7-5, 7-5
12.08.2026Anastasia Zolotareva L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
05.08.2026Eva Bennemann L7-5, 6-4

Marta Lombardini, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Nina Radovanovic L6-2, 7-5
08.10.2026Deborah Chiesa L7-5, 3-6, 7-6
07.10.2026Anna Petkovic W7-6, 6-1
23.09.2026Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales L6-2, 6-3
22.09.2026Aurora Zantedeschi W4-6, 6-2, 6-3
20.09.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L6-1, 4-6, 6-3
19.09.2026Ilary Pistola W7-5, 6-2
18.09.2026Viola Turini W6-4, 6-3
17.09.2026Valentina Steiner W7-5, 6-4
16.09.2026Enola Chiesa W7-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDeborah ChiesaMarta Lombardini
Camilla Gennaro 1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Federica Urgesi 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-0, 6-2
Natalija Senic 1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 7-6

Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini: quick answers

Who won Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini?

Deborah Chiesa beat Marta Lombardini 7-5, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Deborah Chiesa and Marta Lombardini?

Deborah Chiesa leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Deborah Chiesa 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Deborah Chiesa or Marta Lombardini?

Deborah Chiesa is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Marta Lombardini is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Deborah Chiesa and Marta Lombardini?

Deborah Chiesa is rated 6672 (WTA #311) and Marta Lombardini is rated 6545 (WTA #475). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Deborah Chiesa vs Marta Lombardini?

Deborah Chiesa is priced at -167 and Marta Lombardini at +110, which implies a 63% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Deborah Chiesa 11 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.