Darya Velikova vs Ilina Ilieva
Updated
Ilina Ilieva beat Darya Velikova 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Darya Velikova at 60%. Ilina Ilieva leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Velikova is 6-4 in their last 10, Ilieva 4-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Darya Velikova a 60% favorite. At +200 the sportsbook implies 33% for Ilina Ilieva, 7 points below the model's 40%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ilina Ilieva at +200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Darya Velikova | Ilina Ilieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6176 | 6055 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1391 | WTA #1888 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-4 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 33-31 | 4-3 |
| UTR | 10.04 | 9.4 |
Head to head
Ilina Ilieva leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Ilina Ilieva | 7-5, 7-6 | Bulgaria Stara Zagora |
Recent form
Darya Velikova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Urszula Radwanska | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Kristina Kroitor | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Ilina Ilieva | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maria Alessia Serbanescu | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Lucie Petruzelova | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Ana Lungu | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alexia Shara Iancu | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ralitsa Alexandrova | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Teodora Naidenova | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Ilina Ilieva, last 7
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Valeriia Artemeva | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Darya Velikova | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ralitsa Alexandrova | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Melis Rasim | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Ralitsa Alexandrova | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.08.2026 | Alice Iozzi | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.04.2026 | Vivien Cemanova | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Darya Velikova | Ilina Ilieva |
|---|---|---|
| Ralitsa Alexandrova | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-1, L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Valeriia Artemeva | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Stara Zagora (Bulgaria), model gave Darya Velikova 60% at -313
Darya Velikova vs Ilina Ilieva: quick answers
Who won Darya Velikova vs Ilina Ilieva?
Ilina Ilieva beat Darya Velikova 7-5, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Darya Velikova at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Darya Velikova and Ilina Ilieva?
Ilina Ilieva leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Ilina Ilieva 7-5, 7-6 at Bulgaria Stara Zagora.
Who is in better form, Darya Velikova or Ilina Ilieva?
Darya Velikova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ilina Ilieva is 4-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Darya Velikova and Ilina Ilieva?
Darya Velikova is rated 6176 (WTA #1391) and Ilina Ilieva is rated 6055 (WTA #1888). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Darya Velikova vs Ilina Ilieva?
Darya Velikova is priced at -313 and Ilina Ilieva at +200, which implies a 76% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Ilina Ilieva 7 points higher than the odds do (40% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.