Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia
Updated
Mathilde Lollia beat Darja Semenistaja 7-6, 5-7, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Darja Semenistaja at 94%. Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Semenistaja is 3-7 in their last 10, Lollia 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Darja Semenistaja a 94% favorite. At -588 the sportsbook implies 85% for Darja Semenistaja, 9 points below the model's 94%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Darja Semenistaja at -588 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Darja Semenistaja | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6791 | 6529 |
| Tour rank | WTA #204 | WTA #499 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 26-36 | 22-24 |
| UTR | 11.7 | 10.8 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1554 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 | Portugal Lisboa |
Recent form
Darja Semenistaja, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Mathilde Lollia | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Teodora Kostovic | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Hayu Kinoshita | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | L | 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 01.09.2026 | Anastasia Potapova | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.08.2026 | Storm Hunter | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 27.08.2026 | Alexandra Shubladze | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 25.08.2026 | Hayu Kinoshita | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 12.08.2026 | Denislava Glushkova | L | 7-6, 4-6, 5-3 |
| 28.07.2026 | Mia Ristic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Mathilde Lollia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Margaux Maquet | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Paula Ormaechea | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Clara Burel | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darja Semenistaja | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Loes Ebeling Koning | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 11.10.2026 | Maria Martinez Vaquero | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Juliana Giaccio | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Carolyn Ansari | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Martha Matoula | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Darja Semenistaja | Mathilde Lollia |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Riera | 0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Darja Semenistaja 94% at -588
Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia: quick answers
Who won Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia?
Mathilde Lollia beat Darja Semenistaja 7-6, 5-7, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Darja Semenistaja at 94%.
What is the head-to-head record between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia?
Mathilde Lollia leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Mathilde Lollia 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 at Portugal Lisboa.
Who is in better form, Darja Semenistaja or Mathilde Lollia?
Darja Semenistaja is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Mathilde Lollia is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia?
Darja Semenistaja is rated 6791 (WTA #204) and Mathilde Lollia is rated 6529 (WTA #499). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia?
Darja Semenistaja is priced at -588 and Mathilde Lollia at +336, which implies a 85% and 23% chance to win. The model rates Darja Semenistaja 9 points higher than the odds do (94% vs 85%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.