Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens
Updated
Daria Snigur beat Elise Mertens 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elise Mertens at 60%. Daria Snigur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Snigur is 5-5 in their last 10, Mertens 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elise Mertens a 60% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elise Mertens at -213 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7007 | 7115 |
| Tour rank | WTA #60 | WTA #19 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 49-23 | 34-24 |
| UTR | 12.41 | 12.65 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1830 | 1933 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Daria Snigur leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | 6-4, 7-5 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Daria Snigur, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Anna Bondar | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | L | 6-1, 2-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Yu Jun Lin | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Taylah Preston | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
Elise Mertens, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Moyuka Uchijima | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Coco Gauff | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katie Volynets | W | 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Bondar | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Daria Kasatkina | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Ella Seidel | 1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Iga Swiatek | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Panna Udvardy | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Sorana Cirstea | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Daria Snigur 40% at +164
Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens: quick answers
Who won Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens?
Daria Snigur beat Elise Mertens 6-4, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elise Mertens at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Daria Snigur and Elise Mertens?
Daria Snigur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Daria Snigur 6-4, 7-5 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Daria Snigur or Elise Mertens?
Daria Snigur is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Elise Mertens is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daria Snigur and Elise Mertens?
Daria Snigur is rated 7007 (WTA #60) and Elise Mertens is rated 7115 (WTA #19). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens?
Daria Snigur is priced at +164 and Elise Mertens at -213, which implies a 38% and 68% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.