Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina

WTA Wuhan (China), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Daria Kasatkina beat Sara Sorribes Tormo 2-6, 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Daria Kasatkina leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Tormo is 4-6 in their last 10, Kasatkina 4-6.

Result: Daria Kasatkina beat Sara Sorribes Tormo 2-6, 6-2, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Daria Kasatkina a 70% favorite. At -175 the sportsbook implies 64% for Daria Kasatkina, 6 points below the model's 70%.

Model
30%
Book
43%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
70%
Book
64%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daria Kasatkina at -175 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sara Sorribes TormoDaria Kasatkina
Tennis Gauge rating68717006
Tour rankWTA #139WTA #61
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days4-21-2
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record31-2424-23
UTR11.9112.15
Elo (52 weeks)16521784
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Daria Kasatkina leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Daria Kasatkina2-6, 6-2, 6-1China Wuhan
02.05.2026Daria Kasatkina6-2, 6-0Spain La Bisbal

Recent form

Sara Sorribes Tormo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Zeynep Sonmez L6-1, 4-6, 6-2
17.10.2026Maddison Inglis L7-5, 6-4
11.10.2026Daria Kasatkina L2-6, 6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Talia Gibson W7-5, 6-0
02.10.2026Aliona Falei L6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Wushuang Zheng W4-6, 6-2, 6-3
29.09.2026Viktoria Morvayova W6-0, 2-6, 7-6
13.09.2026Caroline Dolehide L4-6, 6-3, 7-6
12.09.2026Ena Koike W7-5, 6-2
09.09.2026Kaitlin Quevedo L5-7, 7-5, 6-1

Daria Kasatkina, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Talia Gibson L6-0, 7-5
25.10.2026Kimberly Birrell W6-3, 6-4
24.10.2026Ye Xin Ma W6-2, 6-2
19.10.2026Aliaksandra Sasnovich L6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Jelena Ostapenko L6-1, 6-1
11.10.2026Sara Sorribes Tormo W2-6, 6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Viktorija Golubic W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
01.10.2026Paula Badosa L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
21.09.2026Aliaksandra Sasnovich L7-5, 6-0
02.09.2026Paula Badosa L6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSara Sorribes TormoDaria Kasatkina
Alina Charaeva 0-1
L 3-6, 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 4-6, 6-0, 6-4
Talia Gibson 1-0
W 7-5, 6-0
0-1
L 6-0, 7-5
Tamara Korpatsch 0-2
L 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 3-1
1-0
W 2-6, 6-3, 7-5
Zeynep Sonmez 0-1
L 6-1, 4-6, 6-2
1-1
L 2-6, 7-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4

Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina: quick answers

Who won Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina?

Daria Kasatkina beat Sara Sorribes Tormo 2-6, 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina?

Daria Kasatkina leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Daria Kasatkina 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 at China Wuhan.

Who is in better form, Sara Sorribes Tormo or Daria Kasatkina?

Sara Sorribes Tormo is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Daria Kasatkina is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina?

Sara Sorribes Tormo is rated 6871 (WTA #139) and Daria Kasatkina is rated 7006 (WTA #61). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina?

Sara Sorribes Tormo is priced at +135 and Daria Kasatkina at -175, which implies a 43% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Daria Kasatkina 6 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 64%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.