Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daria Gorska, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mariya Yemshanova (35%). Daria Gorska leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gorska is 4-6 in their last 10, Yemshanova 1-9. At +475, the odds imply 17% for Mariya Yemshanova, below the model's 35%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daria Gorska a 65% favorite. At +475 the sportsbook implies 17% for Mariya Yemshanova, 18 points below the model's 35%.
Model minus book: -30 pts
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mariya Yemshanova at +475 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daria Gorska | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6286 | 5961 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1047 | WTA #2297 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 1-6 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 19-16 | 13-29 |
| UTR | 10.15 | 9.18 |
Head to head
Daria Gorska leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Daria Gorska | 6-1, 6-2 | Croatia Bol |
Recent form
Daria Gorska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Mia Horvit | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Mariya Yemshanova | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Iva Primorac | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andrea Obradovic | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Izabela Heinzova | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 01.09.2026 | Megan Heuser | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Sonja Zhenikhova | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 24.08.2026 | Julia Adams | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.08.2026 | Oliwia Kadzielska | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 02.08.2026 | Alana Smith | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Mariya Yemshanova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Daria Gorska | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Zala Bizjak | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Emilija Miljkovic | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Mina Markovic | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kristina Kovgan | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Milica Stosovic | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Laura Svatikova | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Denise Hrdinkova | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Federica Bilardo | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 23.08.2026 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daria Gorska | Mariya Yemshanova |
|---|---|---|
| Denise Hrdinkova | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-26: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-25: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-24: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-23: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-22: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-21: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
- 2026-10-20: WTA Bol (X) I (Croatia), model gave Daria Gorska 65% at -2000
Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova: quick answers
Who will win Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daria Gorska, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mariya Yemshanova (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Daria Gorska and Mariya Yemshanova?
Daria Gorska leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 23, 2026, won by Daria Gorska 6-1, 6-2 at Croatia Bol.
Who is in better form, Daria Gorska or Mariya Yemshanova?
Daria Gorska is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mariya Yemshanova is 1-9 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daria Gorska and Mariya Yemshanova?
Daria Gorska is rated 6286 (WTA #1047) and Mariya Yemshanova is rated 5961 (WTA #2297). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova?
Daria Gorska is priced at -2000 and Mariya Yemshanova at +475, which implies a 95% and 17% chance to win. The model rates Mariya Yemshanova 18 points higher than the odds do (35% vs 17%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.