Dante Pagani vs Tomas Martinez
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Dante Pagani, giving them a 51% chance to win against Tomas Martinez (49%). Pagani is 5-5 in their last 10, Martinez 6-4. At +140, the odds imply 42% for Tomas Martinez, below the model's 49%.
Prediction
The model makes Dante Pagani a 51% favorite. At +140 the sportsbook implies 42% for Tomas Martinez, 7 points below the model's 49%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tomas Martinez at +140 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Dante Pagani | Tomas Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6323 | 6307 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1066 | ATP #1126 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 14-14 | 29-26 |
| UTR | 12.96 | 12.89 |
Head to head
Dante Pagani and Tomas Martinez haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Dante Pagani, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Juan Pablo Ficovich | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Julian Cundom | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Giovanni Branchetti | W | 6-1, 5-7, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Kai Thompson | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 06.09.2026 | Nicolas Baena | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 09.07.2026 | Jack Secord | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Tomas Martinez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | W | 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rafael Tosetto | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Gabriel Schenekenberg | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Nicolas Kicker | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Thiago Cigarran | W | 6-1, 4-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jackson Ross | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Felix Corwin | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 02.09.2026 | Felipe De Dios | W | 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 01.09.2026 | Agustin Fernandez Badia | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.08.2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Dante Pagani | Tomas Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Bautista Vilicich | 1-1 W 7-5, 5-7, 6-1, L 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Ignacio Monzon | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | 0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Dante Pagani 51% at -208
- 2026-10-31: ATP Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Dante Pagani 51% at -208
- 2026-10-30: ATP Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Dante Pagani 51% at -208
Dante Pagani vs Tomas Martinez: quick answers
Who will win Dante Pagani vs Tomas Martinez?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Dante Pagani, giving them a 51% chance to win against Tomas Martinez (49%).
Have Dante Pagani and Tomas Martinez played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Dante Pagani or Tomas Martinez?
Dante Pagani is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Tomas Martinez is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Dante Pagani and Tomas Martinez?
Dante Pagani is rated 6323 (ATP #1066) and Tomas Martinez is rated 6307 (ATP #1126). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Dante Pagani vs Tomas Martinez?
Dante Pagani is priced at -208 and Tomas Martinez at +140, which implies a 68% and 42% chance to win. The model rates Tomas Martinez 7 points higher than the odds do (49% vs 42%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.