Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Dante Pagani

ATP Maceio (Brazil), Indoors. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 06:00.

Updated

Dante Pagani beat Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 6-0, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at 71%. Dante Pagani leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Chabalgoity is 4-6 in their last 10, Pagani 5-5.

Result: Dante Pagani beat Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 6-0, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity a 71% favorite. At -135 the sportsbook implies 57% for Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity, 14 points below the model's 71%.

Model
71%
Book
57%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model
29%
Book
51%

Model minus book: -23 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at -135 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pedro Henrique ChabalgoityDante Pagani
Tennis Gauge rating62476323
Tour rankATP #1378ATP #1066
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days3-20-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record6-1114-14
UTR13.2512.96

Head to head

Dante Pagani leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Dante Pagani6-0, 6-2Brazil Maceio

Recent form

Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Tomas Martinez L7-5, 4-6, 7-5
28.10.2026Lorenzo Gagliardo W6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Dante Pagani L6-0, 6-2
16.10.2026Rafael Tosetto L6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto W6-4, 6-1
13.10.2026Rodrigo Kenichi Abe Hirai W6-4, 6-2
24.09.2026Mateus Alves L6-1, 6-1
23.09.2026Leonel Cesar Castro W6-3, 2-6, 6-4
06.09.2026Keaton Hance L0-6, 6-7
28.07.2026Juan Sebastian Osorio L6-1, 6-4

Dante Pagani, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Juan Pablo Ficovich W6-2, 6-4
28.10.2026Julian Cundom W6-1, 6-1
23.10.2026Pedro Sakamoto L6-2, 6-1
22.10.2026Giovanni Branchetti W6-1, 5-7, 7-5
21.10.2026Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity W6-0, 6-2
13.10.2026Joao Eduardo Schiessl L6-3, 5-7, 6-4
20.09.2026Bruno Fernandez L6-4, 6-4
08.09.2026Kai Thompson L6-7, 6-2, 7-5
06.09.2026Nicolas Baena W6-4, 6-3
09.07.2026Jack Secord L6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPedro Henrique ChabalgoityDante Pagani
Alvaro Ariel Frutos Alonso 1-0
W 5-7, 6-2, 6-0
1-0
W 6-2, 6-0

Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Dante Pagani: quick answers

Who won Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Dante Pagani?

Dante Pagani beat Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 6-0, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at 71%.

What is the head-to-head record between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Dante Pagani?

Dante Pagani leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Dante Pagani 6-0, 6-2 at Brazil Maceio.

Who is in better form, Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity or Dante Pagani?

Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Dante Pagani is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Dante Pagani?

Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is rated 6247 (ATP #1378) and Dante Pagani is rated 6323 (ATP #1066). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Dante Pagani?

Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is priced at -135 and Dante Pagani at -106, which implies a 57% and 51% chance to win. The model rates Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 14 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.