Ruochen Gao vs Daniil Sarksian
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daniil Sarksian, giving them a 75% chance to win against Ruochen Gao (25%). Daniil Sarksian leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gao is 6-4 in their last 10, Sarksian 6-4. At +465, the odds imply 18% for Ruochen Gao, below the model's 25%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniil Sarksian a 75% favorite. At +465 the sportsbook implies 18% for Ruochen Gao, 8 points below the model's 25%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ruochen Gao at +465 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ruochen Gao | Daniil Sarksian | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5916 | 6296 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3464 | ATP #1175 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 10-6 | 38-31 |
| UTR | 11.97 | 13.11 |
Head to head
Daniil Sarksian leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Daniil Sarksian | 6-4, 3-0 | China Shenzhen |
Recent form
Ruochen Gao, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Daniil Sarksian | L | 6-4, 3-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Julien De Cuyper | W | 3-6, 6-1, 3-0 |
| 27.09.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Kezhi Li | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 10.08.2026 | Venedikt Tsirikidze | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 09.08.2026 | Tonghan Gu | W | 3-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 08.08.2026 | Zihan Gao | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.08.2026 | Yuki Mochizuki | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.08.2026 | Hongjin Qi | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 03.08.2026 | Chin Kuan Lai | W | 3-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
Daniil Sarksian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Luca Staeheli | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Ruochen Gao | W | 6-4, 3-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Lleyton Richards | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Matisse Bobichon | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Julio Cesar Porras | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Martin Rodriguez Figueiredo | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Arthur Laborde | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 16.09.2026 | Noel Larwig | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Dmitry Popko | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Karol Malirz | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-26: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-25: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-24: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-23: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-22: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
- 2026-10-21: ATP Shenzhen (XI) (China), model gave Ruochen Gao 25% at +465
Ruochen Gao vs Daniil Sarksian: quick answers
Who will win Ruochen Gao vs Daniil Sarksian?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daniil Sarksian, giving them a 75% chance to win against Ruochen Gao (25%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ruochen Gao and Daniil Sarksian?
Daniil Sarksian leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Daniil Sarksian 6-4, 3-0 at China Shenzhen.
Who is in better form, Ruochen Gao or Daniil Sarksian?
Ruochen Gao is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daniil Sarksian is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ruochen Gao and Daniil Sarksian?
Ruochen Gao is rated 5916 (ATP #3464) and Daniil Sarksian is rated 6296 (ATP #1175). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ruochen Gao vs Daniil Sarksian?
Ruochen Gao is priced at +465 and Daniil Sarksian at -1000, which implies a 18% and 91% chance to win. The model rates Ruochen Gao 8 points higher than the odds do (25% vs 18%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.