Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daniil Medvedev, giving them a 92% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (8%). Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10, Shimabukuro 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniil Medvedev a 92% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniil Medvedev at -1429 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daniil Medvedev | Sho Shimabukuro | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6965 | 6775 |
| Tour rank | ATP #9 | ATP #135 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 9-2 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 53-19 | 35-31 |
| UTR | 15.97 | 14.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1980 | 1598 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2, 6-1 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Daniil Medvedev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Sho Shimabukuro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Jan Kumstat | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Anton Shepp | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | James Watt | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daniil Medvedev | Sho Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 0-1 L 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-2, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-1 L 7-6, 6-4, 7-6, W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Hugo Gaston | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | 1-1 L 7-6, 6-1, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Marin Cilic | 2-0 W 6-1, 6-2, 6-4, W 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Martin Landaluce | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Quentin Halys | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Roman Safiullin | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-26: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-25: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-24: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-23: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-22: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
- 2026-10-21: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Daniil Medvedev 92% at -1429
Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro: quick answers
Who will win Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Daniil Medvedev, giving them a 92% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (8%).
What is the head-to-head record between Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro?
Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-1 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Daniil Medvedev or Sho Shimabukuro?
Daniil Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Sho Shimabukuro is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro?
Daniil Medvedev is rated 6965 (ATP #9) and Sho Shimabukuro is rated 6775 (ATP #135). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro?
Daniil Medvedev is priced at -1429 and Sho Shimabukuro at +707, which implies a 93% and 12% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.