Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard Struff
Updated
Daniil Medvedev beat Jan Lennard Struff 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Daniil Medvedev leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10, Struff 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniil Medvedev a 78% favorite. At +501 the sportsbook implies 17% for Jan Lennard Struff, 5 points below the model's 22%.
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jan Lennard Struff at +501 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daniil Medvedev | Jan Lennard Struff | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6965 | 6912 |
| Tour rank | ATP #9 | ATP #32 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 53-19 | 32-27 |
| UTR | 15.97 | 15.57 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1936 | 1737 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Daniil Medvedev leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 03.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4, 6-3 | China Peking |
| 03.07.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 | United Kingdom Wimbledon |
Recent form
Daniil Medvedev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Jan Lennard Struff, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gauthier Onclin | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Marcos Giron | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daniil Medvedev | Jan Lennard Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Alex Michelsen | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-1, 3-6, 6-1, L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-3 |
1-3 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-7, 6-4, 7-5, L 6-3, 6-4, L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-1, W 6-2, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 1-1 W 7-6, 6-3, L 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 5-7, 7-5, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-2 L 6-2, 5-7, 6-4, L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Martin Landaluce | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Novak Djokovic | 0-1 L 7-5, 5-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Sebastian Baez | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6, 4-6, 2-6, 7-5 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard Struff: quick answers
Who won Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard Struff?
Daniil Medvedev beat Jan Lennard Struff 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Daniil Medvedev and Jan Lennard Struff?
Daniil Medvedev leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Daniil Medvedev 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Daniil Medvedev or Jan Lennard Struff?
Daniil Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Jan Lennard Struff is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daniil Medvedev and Jan Lennard Struff?
Daniil Medvedev is rated 6965 (ATP #9) and Jan Lennard Struff is rated 6912 (ATP #32). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Jan Lennard Struff?
Daniil Medvedev is priced at -714 and Jan Lennard Struff at +501, which implies a 88% and 17% chance to win. The model rates Jan Lennard Struff 5 points higher than the odds do (22% vs 17%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.