Lorenzo Berto vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Updated
Lorenzo Berto beat Daniele Rapagnetta 6-2, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniele Rapagnetta at 88%. Lorenzo Berto leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Berto is 5-5 in their last 10, Rapagnetta 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniele Rapagnetta a 88% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniele Rapagnetta at -833 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lorenzo Berto | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6362 | 6523 |
| Tour rank | ATP #907 | ATP #482 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 9-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 25-26 | 27-24 |
| UTR | 12.8 | 14.0 |
Head to head
Lorenzo Berto leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | 6-2, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
Recent form
Lorenzo Berto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | W | 6-4, 5-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daniele Rapagnetta | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Manuel Mazza | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Lorenzo Bocchi | W | 1-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Andrey Chepelev | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Gabriele Bosio | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.09.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Daniele Rapagnetta, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dmitry Popko | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Daniel Siniakov | L | 1-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Noah Lopez | L | 5-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Michael Savano | W | 6-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Laurent Lokoli | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Matteo Sciahbasi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Garrett Johns | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Niccolo Catini | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lorenzo Berto | Daniele Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandro Coccioli | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Rottoli | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Manuel Mazza | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Maximilian Figl | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Lorenzo Berto 12% at +390
Lorenzo Berto vs Daniele Rapagnetta: quick answers
Who won Lorenzo Berto vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Lorenzo Berto beat Daniele Rapagnetta 6-2, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniele Rapagnetta at 88%.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorenzo Berto and Daniele Rapagnetta?
Lorenzo Berto leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Lorenzo Berto 6-2, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Lorenzo Berto or Daniele Rapagnetta?
Lorenzo Berto is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daniele Rapagnetta is 5-5 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lorenzo Berto and Daniele Rapagnetta?
Lorenzo Berto is rated 6362 (ATP #907) and Daniele Rapagnetta is rated 6523 (ATP #482). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Berto vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Lorenzo Berto is priced at +390 and Daniele Rapagnetta at -833, which implies a 20% and 89% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.