Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Updated
Dmitry Popko beat Daniele Rapagnetta 6-2, 2-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniele Rapagnetta at 57%. Dmitry Popko leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Popko is 8-2 in their last 10, Rapagnetta 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniele Rapagnetta a 57% favorite. At +135 the sportsbook implies 43% for Daniele Rapagnetta, 14 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniele Rapagnetta at +135 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Dmitry Popko | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6453 | 6523 |
| Tour rank | ATP #635 | ATP #482 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 11-1 | 6-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 41-16 | 27-24 |
| UTR | 13.86 | 14.0 |
Head to head
Dmitry Popko leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dmitry Popko | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Dmitry Popko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Philip Henning | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Aleksander Chayka | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Daniele Rapagnetta | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Matic Dimic | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alessio Basile | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Andrea Fiorentini | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | David Tixhon | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Michele Mecarelli | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Daniele Rapagnetta, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Dmitry Popko | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lorenzo Berto | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Daniel Siniakov | L | 1-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Noah Lopez | L | 5-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Michael Savano | W | 6-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Laurent Lokoli | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Matteo Sciahbasi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Garrett Johns | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Niccolo Catini | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Dmitry Popko | Daniele Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Aubriot | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Philip Henning | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Pierluigi Basile | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Dmitry Popko 43% at -196
Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta: quick answers
Who won Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Dmitry Popko beat Daniele Rapagnetta 6-2, 2-6, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Daniele Rapagnetta at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Dmitry Popko and Daniele Rapagnetta?
Dmitry Popko leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Dmitry Popko 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Dmitry Popko or Daniele Rapagnetta?
Dmitry Popko is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Daniele Rapagnetta is 5-5 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Dmitry Popko and Daniele Rapagnetta?
Dmitry Popko is rated 6453 (ATP #635) and Daniele Rapagnetta is rated 6523 (ATP #482). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Dmitry Popko vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Dmitry Popko is priced at -196 and Daniele Rapagnetta at +135, which implies a 66% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Daniele Rapagnetta 14 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.