Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Monday, October 12, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Daniel Siniakov beat Jakub Vrba 7-5, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Daniel Siniakov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vrba is 4-6 in their last 10, Siniakov 5-5.

Result: Daniel Siniakov beat Jakub Vrba 7-5, 3-6, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Daniel Siniakov a 58% favorite. At +161 the sportsbook implies 38% for Jakub Vrba, 4 points below the model's 42%.

Jakub Vrba +161
Model
42%
Book
38%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
58%
Book
70%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jakub Vrba at +161 · Model track record

Player comparison

Jakub VrbaDaniel Siniakov
Tennis Gauge rating63486490
Tour rankATP #969ATP #544
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days2-22-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record35-1843-27
UTR13.5514.04

Head to head

Daniel Siniakov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Daniel Siniakov7-5, 3-6, 7-6Italy Catania

Recent form

Jakub Vrba, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Alex Marti Pujolras L6-4, 7-5
12.10.2026Daniel Siniakov L7-5, 3-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Dragos Nicolae Madaras W4-6, 6-1, 6-2
29.09.2026Dragos Nicolae Cazacu L6-7, 6-1, 6-4
26.09.2026Aidan Kim L6-1, 6-4
25.09.2026Aryan Shah W6-0, 6-4
24.09.2026Matic Kriznik W4-6, 6-2, 7-5
23.09.2026Abel Forger L7-5, 6-4
21.09.2026Spencer Johnson L6-2, 6-4
20.09.2026Blaise Bicknell W6-3, 3-1

Daniel Siniakov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Filip Misolic L6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Matteo Sciahbasi W6-1, 3-0
13.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato L6-3, 6-2
12.10.2026Jakub Vrba W7-5, 3-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Paolo Gabriele Marino W6-3, 6-2
05.10.2026Yanaki Milev L5-7, 6-3, 6-4
04.10.2026Daniele Rapagnetta W1-6, 7-5, 6-2
18.09.2026Patrick Michalski L7-6, 3-1
16.09.2026Vaclav Schneider L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Lukas Velik W7-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJakub VrbaDaniel Siniakov
Rudolf Molleker 1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-0
Ryan Colby 1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 0-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Jakub Vrba 42% at +161

Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov: quick answers

Who won Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov?

Daniel Siniakov beat Jakub Vrba 7-5, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Jakub Vrba and Daniel Siniakov?

Daniel Siniakov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Daniel Siniakov 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Jakub Vrba or Daniel Siniakov?

Jakub Vrba is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Daniel Siniakov is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Jakub Vrba and Daniel Siniakov?

Jakub Vrba is rated 6348 (ATP #969) and Daniel Siniakov is rated 6490 (ATP #544). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Jakub Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov?

Jakub Vrba is priced at +161 and Daniel Siniakov at -233, which implies a 38% and 70% chance to win. The model rates Jakub Vrba 4 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.