Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 01:05.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Filip Misolic, giving them a 83% chance to win against Daniel Siniakov (17%). Filip Misolic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Misolic is 6-4 in their last 10, Siniakov 5-5. At -357, the odds imply 78% for Filip Misolic, below the model's 83%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Filip Misolic a 83% favorite. At -357 the sportsbook implies 78% for Filip Misolic, 5 points below the model's 83%.

Model
83%
Book
78%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model
17%
Book
28%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Filip Misolic at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Filip MisolicDaniel Siniakov
Tennis Gauge rating65966490
Tour rankATP #359ATP #544
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days4-24-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record9-1443-27
UTR14.2214.04
Elo (52 weeks)1574–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Filip Misolic leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Filip Misolic6-3, 6-1Italy Florence

Recent form

Filip Misolic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano L6-4, 6-4
25.10.2026Martin Baquero W6-0, 6-1
23.10.2026Michele Ribecai L6-2, 6-1
22.10.2026Izan Almazan Valiente W4-6, 6-3, 6-3
20.10.2026Felix Gill W7-6, 6-1
19.10.2026Daniel Siniakov W6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Dominik Recek W6-2, 6-2
05.10.2026Patrick Schoen L6-1, 6-2
04.10.2026Tiago Esculcas W6-2, 6-0
27.09.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko L6-4, 3-1

Daniel Siniakov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Filip Misolic L6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Matteo Sciahbasi W6-1, 3-0
13.10.2026Carlo Alberto Caniato L6-3, 6-2
12.10.2026Jakub Vrba W7-5, 3-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Paolo Gabriele Marino W6-3, 6-2
05.10.2026Yanaki Milev L5-7, 6-3, 6-4
04.10.2026Daniele Rapagnetta W1-6, 7-5, 6-2
18.09.2026Patrick Michalski L7-6, 3-1
16.09.2026Vaclav Schneider L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Lukas Velik W7-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFilip MisolicDaniel Siniakov
Dominik Recek 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 7-6
Izan Almazan Valiente 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Filip Misolic 83% at -357
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Filip Misolic 83% at -357

Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov: quick answers

Who will win Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Filip Misolic, giving them a 83% chance to win against Daniel Siniakov (17%).

What is the head-to-head record between Filip Misolic and Daniel Siniakov?

Filip Misolic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Filip Misolic 6-3, 6-1 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Filip Misolic or Daniel Siniakov?

Filip Misolic is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daniel Siniakov is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Filip Misolic and Daniel Siniakov?

Filip Misolic is rated 6596 (ATP #359) and Daniel Siniakov is rated 6490 (ATP #544). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov?

Filip Misolic is priced at -357 and Daniel Siniakov at +257, which implies a 78% and 28% chance to win. The model rates Filip Misolic 5 points higher than the odds do (83% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.