Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar

ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Mwendwa Mbithi beat Daniel Salazar 6-3, 6-7, 3-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mbithi is 6-4 in their last 10, Salazar 6-4.

Result: Mwendwa Mbithi beat Daniel Salazar 6-3, 6-7, 3-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mwendwa Mbithi a 60% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Mwendwa Mbithi, 13 points below the model's 60%.

Model
60%
Book
47%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model
40%
Book
64%

Model minus book: -23 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mwendwa Mbithi at +115 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mwendwa MbithiDaniel Salazar
Tennis Gauge rating62676330
Tour rankATP #1293ATP #1037
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days3-15-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record21-1740-38
UTR13.2713.23

Head to head

Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Mwendwa Mbithi6-3, 6-7, 3-0Ecuador Quito

Recent form

Mwendwa Mbithi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Lucas Andrade Da Silva L6-4, 6-2
16.10.2026Daniel Salazar W6-3, 6-7, 3-0
15.10.2026Lorenzo Claverie W7-6, 7-6
13.10.2026Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde W6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Matteo Covato L6-4, 6-4
06.10.2026Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado W6-4, 6-3
30.07.2026Niels Peter Van Noord L6-2, 6-4
29.07.2026Andres Delgadillo W6-3, 6-3
25.07.2026Alvin Nicholas Tudorica L6-4, 4-6, 6-3
24.07.2026Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero W6-1, 6-0

Daniel Salazar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Miguel Tobon L6-2, 6-3
25.10.2026Younes Lalami Laaroussi W4-6, 6-3, 6-3
20.10.2026Juan Bautista Torres L6-3, 6-1
19.10.2026Alan Magadan W6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Benjamin Torrealba W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Mwendwa Mbithi L6-3, 6-7, 3-0
15.10.2026Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos W6-3, 6-3
14.10.2026Mario Andre Galarraga W6-1, 6-2
09.10.2026Lucas Andrade Da Silva L6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos W4-6, 6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMwendwa MbithiDaniel Salazar
Juan Sebastian Osorio 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
Lucas Andrade Da Silva 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Matias Soto 0-1
L 1-6, 6-4, 7-6
1-1
L 7-5, 6-1, W 6-4, 6-1
Matteo Covato 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-7, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Mwendwa Mbithi 60% at +115

Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar: quick answers

Who won Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar?

Mwendwa Mbithi beat Daniel Salazar 6-3, 6-7, 3-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mwendwa Mbithi and Daniel Salazar?

Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Mwendwa Mbithi 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 at Ecuador Quito.

Who is in better form, Mwendwa Mbithi or Daniel Salazar?

Mwendwa Mbithi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daniel Salazar is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mwendwa Mbithi and Daniel Salazar?

Mwendwa Mbithi is rated 6267 (ATP #1293) and Daniel Salazar is rated 6330 (ATP #1037). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar?

Mwendwa Mbithi is priced at +115 and Daniel Salazar at -175, which implies a 47% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Mwendwa Mbithi 13 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.