Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar
Updated
Mwendwa Mbithi beat Daniel Salazar 6-3, 6-7, 3-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mbithi is 6-4 in their last 10, Salazar 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mwendwa Mbithi a 60% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Mwendwa Mbithi, 13 points below the model's 60%.
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mwendwa Mbithi at +115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mwendwa Mbithi | Daniel Salazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6267 | 6330 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1293 | ATP #1037 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 21-17 | 40-38 |
| UTR | 13.27 | 13.23 |
Head to head
Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 | Ecuador Quito |
Recent form
Mwendwa Mbithi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniel Salazar | W | 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lorenzo Claverie | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 30.07.2026 | Niels Peter Van Noord | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 29.07.2026 | Andres Delgadillo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 25.07.2026 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 24.07.2026 | Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Daniel Salazar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Juan Bautista Torres | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Alan Magadan | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Benjamin Torrealba | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | L | 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Mario Andre Galarraga | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mwendwa Mbithi | Daniel Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Matias Soto | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-1 L 7-5, 6-1, W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Matteo Covato | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Mwendwa Mbithi 60% at +115
Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar: quick answers
Who won Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar?
Mwendwa Mbithi beat Daniel Salazar 6-3, 6-7, 3-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mwendwa Mbithi and Daniel Salazar?
Mwendwa Mbithi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Mwendwa Mbithi 6-3, 6-7, 3-0 at Ecuador Quito.
Who is in better form, Mwendwa Mbithi or Daniel Salazar?
Mwendwa Mbithi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Daniel Salazar is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mwendwa Mbithi and Daniel Salazar?
Mwendwa Mbithi is rated 6267 (ATP #1293) and Daniel Salazar is rated 6330 (ATP #1037). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mwendwa Mbithi vs Daniel Salazar?
Mwendwa Mbithi is priced at +115 and Daniel Salazar at -175, which implies a 47% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Mwendwa Mbithi 13 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.