Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny
Updated
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Dane Sweeny 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mochizuki is 5-5 in their last 10, Sweeny 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Shintaro Mochizuki at -141 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Dane Sweeny | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6757 | 6731 |
| Tour rank | ATP #150 | ATP #171 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 26-36 | 38-30 |
| UTR | 14.49 | 14.39 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1560 | 1496 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-3, 7-6 | China Jinan |
| 01.08.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 1-6, 7-6, 6-3 | Canada Montreal |
Recent form
Shintaro Mochizuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dane Sweeny | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Martin Damm | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Dane Sweeny, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alex Bolt | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 05.09.2026 | Luciano Darderi | L | 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Corentin Moutet | W | 7-6, 6-4, 3-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Shintaro Mochizuki | Dane Sweeny |
|---|---|---|
| Billy Harris | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Daniel Milavsky | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Duncan Chan | 1-0 W 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Jacob Fearnley | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-1 L 6-7, 6-1, 6-2, W 6-1, 7-6 |
| Jay Clarke | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Philip Sekulic | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Stefano Travaglia | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Taro Daniel | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 L 7-6, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Shintaro Mochizuki 55% at -141
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny: quick answers
Who won Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny?
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Dane Sweeny 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Dane Sweeny?
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3, 7-6 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Shintaro Mochizuki or Dane Sweeny?
Shintaro Mochizuki is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Dane Sweeny is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Shintaro Mochizuki and Dane Sweeny?
Shintaro Mochizuki is rated 6757 (ATP #150) and Dane Sweeny is rated 6731 (ATP #171). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny?
Shintaro Mochizuki is priced at -141 and Dane Sweeny at +109, which implies a 59% and 48% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.