Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 06:00.

Updated

Damir Dzumhur beat Maks Kasnikowski 6-1, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10, Dzumhur 8-2.

Result: Damir Dzumhur beat Maks Kasnikowski 6-1, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Damir Dzumhur a 67% favorite. At -147 the sportsbook implies 60% for Damir Dzumhur, 8 points below the model's 67%.

Model
33%
Book
46%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model
67%
Book
60%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Damir Dzumhur at -147 · Model track record

Player comparison

Maks KasnikowskiDamir Dzumhur
Tennis Gauge rating67026808
Tour rankATP #215ATP #114
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days3-25-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record50-3030-31
UTR14.4614.85
Elo (52 weeks)14901627
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Damir Dzumhur6-1, 7-5Italy Olbia

Recent form

Maks Kasnikowski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Aidan Mayo L6-2, 6-7, 7-5
27.10.2026James Trotter W6-1, 6-2
17.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L6-1, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Andrea Guerrieri W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Cezar Cretu W6-2, 6-1
07.10.2026Philip Henning L7-6, 6-1
19.09.2026Alex De Minaur L6-3, 6-0
12.09.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L7-6, 6-4

Damir Dzumhur, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Zizou Bergs L6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Dino Prizmic W7-6, 2-6, 6-2
18.10.2026Jacob Fearnley W7-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski W6-1, 7-5
16.10.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-0, 6-3
16.10.2026Tom Gentzsch W6-0, 6-3
15.10.2026Dimitar Kuzmanov W0-6, 7-6, 6-0
13.10.2026Aziz Dougaz W6-3, 2-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Abedallah Shelbayh L7-5, 3-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Georgii Kravchenko W7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMaks KasnikowskiDamir Dzumhur
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-1, 6-7, 6-4
Liam Draxl 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-0, 6-4
Miguel Damas 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 7-5
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-5
Pedro Martinez 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5
1-0
W 0-6, 7-6, 6-4
Zsombor Piros 0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Maks Kasnikowski 33% at +116

Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur: quick answers

Who won Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur beat Maks Kasnikowski 6-1, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Maks Kasnikowski and Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Damir Dzumhur 6-1, 7-5 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Maks Kasnikowski or Damir Dzumhur?

Maks Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Damir Dzumhur is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Maks Kasnikowski and Damir Dzumhur?

Maks Kasnikowski is rated 6702 (ATP #215) and Damir Dzumhur is rated 6808 (ATP #114). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur?

Maks Kasnikowski is priced at +116 and Damir Dzumhur at -147, which implies a 46% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Damir Dzumhur 8 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.