Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Dalma Galfi beat Matilde Jorge 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Dalma Galfi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Galfi is 6-4 in their last 10, Jorge 4-6.

Result: Dalma Galfi beat Matilde Jorge 3-6, 7-6, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Dalma Galfi a 68% favorite. At +320 the sportsbook implies 24% for Matilde Jorge, 8 points below the model's 32%.

Model
68%
Book
83%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model
32%
Book
24%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matilde Jorge at +320 · Model track record

Player comparison

Dalma GalfiMatilde Jorge
Tennis Gauge rating68806718
Tour rankWTA #130WTA #271
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days3-32-3
Current streak2 Losses3 Losses
Season record24-2833-31
UTR11.9211.47
Elo (52 weeks)16191424
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Dalma Galfi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Dalma Galfi3-6, 7-6, 7-5Portugal Lisboa

Recent form

Dalma Galfi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Anna Blinkova L6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Leyre Romero Gormaz L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Francesca Jones W6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Francesca Jones W6-2, 6-4
15.10.2026Matilde Jorge W3-6, 7-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Beatriz Castro W6-0, 6-1
07.10.2026Polina Iatcenko L6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Julia Grabher W6-3, 6-4
30.09.2026Teodora Kostovic L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
29.09.2026Elena Micic W7-5, 6-0

Matilde Jorge, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Margaux Maquet L4-6, 7-5, 6-3
20.10.2026Sada Nahimana L6-3, 6-1
15.10.2026Dalma Galfi L3-6, 7-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Lisa Zaar W6-1, 7-5
30.09.2026Elena Malygina L7-5, 6-2
23.09.2026Sinja Kraus L6-4, 7-5
22.09.2026Celia Cervino Ruiz W6-3, 6-4
16.09.2026Mia Pohankova L6-4, 6-1
15.09.2026Anastasia Gasanova W6-1, 2-6, 6-4
13.09.2026Anastasia Gasanova W7-5, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDalma GalfiMatilde Jorge
Elvina Kalieva 0-1
L 6-3, 6-7, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 7-5
Fiona Crawley 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
Francisca Jorge 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
0-2
L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-3, 5-7, 6-4
Mina Hodzic 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Dalma Galfi 68% at -500

Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge: quick answers

Who won Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge?

Dalma Galfi beat Matilde Jorge 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge?

Dalma Galfi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Dalma Galfi 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Dalma Galfi or Matilde Jorge?

Dalma Galfi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Matilde Jorge is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge?

Dalma Galfi is rated 6880 (WTA #130) and Matilde Jorge is rated 6718 (WTA #271). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge?

Dalma Galfi is priced at -500 and Matilde Jorge at +320, which implies a 83% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Matilde Jorge 8 points higher than the odds do (32% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.