Dalma Galfi vs Francesca Jones

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Dalma Galfi beat Francesca Jones 6-2, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Francesca Jones at 75%. Dalma Galfi leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Galfi is 6-4 in their last 10, Jones 6-4.

Result: Dalma Galfi beat Francesca Jones 6-2, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Francesca Jones.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Francesca Jones a 75% favorite. At -164 the sportsbook implies 62% for Francesca Jones, 12 points below the model's 75%.

Model
25%
Book
45%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model
75%
Book
62%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Jones at -164 · Model track record

Player comparison

Dalma GalfiFrancesca Jones
Tennis Gauge rating68806841
Tour rankWTA #130WTA #161
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days4-22-0
Current streak2 Losses2 Wins
Season record24-2834-23
UTR11.9212.07
Elo (52 weeks)16191702
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Dalma Galfi leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi6-2, 6-4Portugal Lisboa
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi6-2, 6-4WTA 125K Lisbon

Recent form

Dalma Galfi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Anna Blinkova L6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Leyre Romero Gormaz L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Francesca Jones W6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Francesca Jones W6-2, 6-4
15.10.2026Matilde Jorge W3-6, 7-6, 7-5
13.10.2026Beatriz Castro W6-0, 6-1
07.10.2026Polina Iatcenko L6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Julia Grabher W6-3, 6-4
30.09.2026Teodora Kostovic L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
29.09.2026Elena Micic W7-5, 6-0

Francesca Jones, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Marjorie Souza W6-4, 6-3
27.10.2026Maria Florencia Urrutia W7-5, 6-1
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi L6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Dalma Galfi L6-2, 6-4
15.10.2026Francisca Jorge W6-3, 6-4
13.10.2026Martina Colmegna W7-5, 6-1
16.09.2026Mona Barthel L6-0, 6-4
15.09.2026Alja Senica W5-7, 6-3, 6-3
10.09.2026Rositsa Dencheva L7-6, 5-7, 6-4
08.09.2026Raluka Serban W6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDalma GalfiFrancesca Jones
Elizabeth Mandlik 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6
Fiona Ferro 0-1
L 6-1, 2-6, 6-0
1-0
W 6-0, 4-6, 7-6
Francisca Jorge 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Julia Grabher 2-0
W 6-3, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Nuria Brancaccio 1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Dalma Galfi 25% at +121

Dalma Galfi vs Francesca Jones: quick answers

Who won Dalma Galfi vs Francesca Jones?

Dalma Galfi beat Francesca Jones 6-2, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Francesca Jones at 75%.

What is the head-to-head record between Dalma Galfi and Francesca Jones?

Dalma Galfi leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Dalma Galfi 6-2, 6-4 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Dalma Galfi or Francesca Jones?

Dalma Galfi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Francesca Jones is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Dalma Galfi and Francesca Jones?

Dalma Galfi is rated 6880 (WTA #130) and Francesca Jones is rated 6841 (WTA #161). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Dalma Galfi vs Francesca Jones?

Dalma Galfi is priced at +121 and Francesca Jones at -164, which implies a 45% and 62% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Jones 12 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.