Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
Updated
Daniil Medvedev beat Dalibor Svrcina 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10, Svrcina 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Daniil Medvedev a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daniil Medvedev at -667 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Daniil Medvedev | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6965 | 6806 |
| Tour rank | ATP #9 | ATP #117 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 8-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 53-19 | 39-27 |
| UTR | 15.97 | 15.2 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1936 | 1654 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Daniil Medvedev, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | W | 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Dalibor Svrcina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Cameron Norrie | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Yoshihito Nishioka | W | 5-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Billy Harris | W | 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Philip Sekulic | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Luciano Darderi | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Daniil Medvedev | Dalibor Svrcina |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 0-1 L 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Cameron Norrie | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2-0 W 7-6, 6-1, W 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1-0 W 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-2 L 6-2, 5-7, 6-4, L 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Stan Wawrinka | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Valentin Royer | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 5-7, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Daniil Medvedev 85% at -667
Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina: quick answers
Who won Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Daniil Medvedev beat Dalibor Svrcina 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina?
Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Daniil Medvedev or Dalibor Svrcina?
Daniil Medvedev is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Dalibor Svrcina is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina?
Daniil Medvedev is rated 6965 (ATP #9) and Dalibor Svrcina is rated 6806 (ATP #117). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Daniil Medvedev is priced at -667 and Dalibor Svrcina at +464, which implies a 87% and 18% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.