Polina Kudermetova vs Cristina Bucsa

WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 12:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Cristina Bucsa, giving them a 57% chance to win against Polina Kudermetova (43%). Polina Kudermetova leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Kudermetova is 5-5 in their last 10, Bucsa 3-7. At +102, the odds imply 50% for Cristina Bucsa, below the model's 57%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Cristina Bucsa a 57% favorite. At +102 the sportsbook implies 50% for Cristina Bucsa, 8 points below the model's 57%.

Model
43%
Book
55%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
57%
Book
50%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cristina Bucsa at +102 · Model track record

Player comparison

Polina KudermetovaCristina Bucsa
Tennis Gauge rating69217001
Tour rankWTA #103WTA #67
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days5-20-5
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record41-2518-24
UTR12.0312.15
Elo (52 weeks)16821710
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Polina Kudermetova leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Polina Kudermetova7-6, 6-2China Ningbo
28.07.2026Polina Kudermetova5-7, 7-6, 6-0USA Washington

Recent form

Polina Kudermetova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Janice Tjen L6-2, 6-2
20.10.2026Cristina Bucsa W7-6, 6-2
18.10.2026Anastasia Zakharova W6-3, 6-3
17.10.2026Mananchaya Sawangkaew W6-3, 6-4
10.10.2026Katie Volynets L6-2, 6-1
04.10.2026Mirra Andreeva L6-4, 6-1
02.10.2026Clara Tauson W6-4, 4-6, 6-4
30.09.2026Ye Xin Ma W6-7, 6-3, 6-2
21.09.2026Kamilla Rakhimova L7-6, 4-6, 7-5
24.08.2026Linda Fruhvirtova L6-1, 6-3

Cristina Bucsa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Maya Joint L6-1, 2-6, 6-4
27.10.2026Diane Parry W7-5, 6-1
20.10.2026Polina Kudermetova L7-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Dayana Yastremska L6-4, 5-7, 6-3
03.10.2026Xinran Sun L6-4, 7-5
25.09.2026Linda Noskova L7-6, 6-2
23.09.2026Yulia Putintseva L6-2, 3-6, 6-1
19.09.2026Iva Jovic L6-4, 6-1
17.09.2026Sara Bejlek W6-0, 6-4
15.09.2026Panna Udvardy W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPolina KudermetovaCristina Bucsa
Elina Svitolina 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
Himeno Sakatsume 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
1-0
W 7-6, 6-7, 7-6
Moyuka Uchijima 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Panna Udvardy 0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
2-0
W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-2, 1-6, 7-5

Polina Kudermetova vs Cristina Bucsa: quick answers

Who will win Polina Kudermetova vs Cristina Bucsa?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Cristina Bucsa, giving them a 57% chance to win against Polina Kudermetova (43%).

What is the head-to-head record between Polina Kudermetova and Cristina Bucsa?

Polina Kudermetova leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Polina Kudermetova 7-6, 6-2 at China Ningbo.

Who is in better form, Polina Kudermetova or Cristina Bucsa?

Polina Kudermetova is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Cristina Bucsa is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Polina Kudermetova and Cristina Bucsa?

Polina Kudermetova is rated 6921 (WTA #103) and Cristina Bucsa is rated 7001 (WTA #67). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Polina Kudermetova vs Cristina Bucsa?

Polina Kudermetova is priced at -120 and Cristina Bucsa at +102, which implies a 55% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Cristina Bucsa 8 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.