Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa
Updated
Dayana Yastremska beat Cristina Bucsa 6-4, 5-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Cristina Bucsa at 55%. Dayana Yastremska leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Yastremska is 6-4 in their last 10, Bucsa 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Cristina Bucsa a 55% favorite. At +104 the sportsbook implies 49% for Cristina Bucsa, 6 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cristina Bucsa at +104 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6982 | 7001 |
| Tour rank | WTA #80 | WTA #67 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-24 | 18-24 |
| UTR | 12.13 | 12.15 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1758 | 1720 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Dayana Yastremska leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 | China Wuhan |
| 09.02.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 | Qatar Doha |
Recent form
Dayana Yastremska, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Han Shi | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Katie Volynets | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Xiaodi You | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Sinja Kraus | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Caty Mcnally | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Cristina Bucsa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Maya Joint | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Diane Parry | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xinran Sun | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Linda Noskova | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Yulia Putintseva | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Sara Bejlek | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Panna Udvardy | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Iva Jovic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Maja Chwalinska | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Marina Stakusic | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Sara Bejlek | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-0, 6-4, W 7-5, 4-6, 6-1 |
| Shuai Zhang | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Dayana Yastremska 45% at -128
Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa: quick answers
Who won Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa?
Dayana Yastremska beat Cristina Bucsa 6-4, 5-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Cristina Bucsa at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Dayana Yastremska and Cristina Bucsa?
Dayana Yastremska leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Dayana Yastremska 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Dayana Yastremska or Cristina Bucsa?
Dayana Yastremska is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Cristina Bucsa is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Dayana Yastremska and Cristina Bucsa?
Dayana Yastremska is rated 6982 (WTA #80) and Cristina Bucsa is rated 7001 (WTA #67). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa?
Dayana Yastremska is priced at -128 and Cristina Bucsa at +104, which implies a 56% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Cristina Bucsa 6 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.