Corentin Moutet vs Ugo Humbert

ATP Lyon (X) (France), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 05:15.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Ugo Humbert, giving them a 71% chance to win against Corentin Moutet (29%). Corentin Moutet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Moutet is 3-7 in their last 10, Humbert 2-8.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Ugo Humbert a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
29%
Book
37%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
71%
Book
69%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ugo Humbert at -227 · Model track record

Player comparison

Corentin MoutetUgo Humbert
Tennis Gauge rating68296898
Tour rankATP #99ATP #42
Last 10 matches3-72-8
Last 30 days1-01-3
Current streak2 Losses4 Losses
Season record12-2628-30
UTR15.4515.72
Elo (52 weeks)17141822
Best surfaceHardGrass
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Corentin Moutet leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Corentin Moutet6-2, 6-7, 7-6France Lyon

Recent form

Corentin Moutet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Tomas Machac L6-4, 6-4
23.10.2026Tommy Paul L6-4, 3-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Felix Balshaw W6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Ugo Humbert W6-2, 6-7, 7-6
01.09.2026Dane Sweeny L7-6, 6-4, 3-0
05.08.2026Rafael Jodar L4-6, 6-1, 6-3
04.08.2026Marton Fucsovics W6-1, 6-2
29.07.2026Jenson Brooksby L6-4, 6-4
18.07.2026Joao Fonseca L16-14, 13-20, 16-14, 19-10
16.07.2026Tallon Griekspoor L14-11, 13-14, 16-11, 10-15, 3-2

Ugo Humbert, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Novak Djokovic L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
20.10.2026Corentin Moutet L6-2, 6-7, 7-6
09.10.2026Arthur Gea L6-4, 3-6, 6-1
03.10.2026Jiri Lehecka L5-7, 6-4, 6-4
01.10.2026Brandon Nakashima W6-3, 6-2
16.08.2026Michael Zheng L6-4, 6-3
06.08.2026Daniel Merida Aguilar L6-3, 6-3
31.07.2026Ben Shelton L6-7, 6-3, 6-4
28.07.2026Andres Martin W6-2, 7-5
30.06.2026Zizou Bergs L6-2, 7-5, 4-6, 3-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentCorentin MoutetUgo Humbert
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0-2
L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-4
2-0
W 6-3, 5-7, 7-6, W 6-3, 6-4
Cameron Norrie 0-1
L 14-12, 21-9, 12-14, 16-14
0-1
L 1-6, 7-6, 7-5
Casper Ruud 0-1
L 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 13-12, 8-16, 8-15, 14-12, 2-0
Daniel Merida Aguilar 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Ignacio Buse 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 5-7, 6-3
Jannik Sinner 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-0
Jenson Brooksby 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Michael Zheng 1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-3, 2-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Quentin Halys 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-1
W 6-3, 6-4, L 6-4, 7-6, 7-6
Tallon Griekspoor 0-1
L 14-11, 13-14, 16-11, 10-15, 3-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
Tomas Machac 1-1
L 6-4, 6-4, W 6-0, 1-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2
Tommy Paul 0-2
L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Vit Kopriva 0-1
L 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2

Corentin Moutet vs Ugo Humbert: quick answers

Who will win Corentin Moutet vs Ugo Humbert?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Ugo Humbert, giving them a 71% chance to win against Corentin Moutet (29%).

What is the head-to-head record between Corentin Moutet and Ugo Humbert?

Corentin Moutet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Corentin Moutet 6-2, 6-7, 7-6 at France Lyon.

Who is in better form, Corentin Moutet or Ugo Humbert?

Corentin Moutet is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Ugo Humbert is 2-8 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Corentin Moutet and Ugo Humbert?

Corentin Moutet is rated 6829 (ATP #99) and Ugo Humbert is rated 6898 (ATP #42). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Corentin Moutet vs Ugo Humbert?

Corentin Moutet is priced at +172 and Ugo Humbert at -227, which implies a 37% and 69% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.