Toufik Sahtali vs Corentin Denolly

ATP Kigali II (Rwanda), Clay. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Corentin Denolly beat Toufik Sahtali 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Corentin Denolly leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sahtali is 4-6 in their last 10, Denolly 7-3.

Result: Corentin Denolly beat Toufik Sahtali 6-4, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Corentin Denolly a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
28%
Book
39%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model
72%
Book
70%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Corentin Denolly at -233 · Model track record

Player comparison

Toufik SahtaliCorentin Denolly
Tennis Gauge rating63746382
Tour rankATP #875ATP #848
Last 10 matches4-67-3
Last 30 days3-36-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record52-2928-20
UTR13.4713.55
Elo (52 weeks)–1331
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Corentin Denolly leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Corentin Denolly6-4, 7-5Rwanda Kigali II

Recent form

Toufik Sahtali, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Kris Van Wyk L6-2, 6-0
28.10.2026Daniil Varaksa W6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Corentin Denolly L6-4, 7-5
08.10.2026Kael Shalin Shah W6-4, 6-2
06.10.2026Chetanna Amadike W6-3, 7-6
01.10.2026Benjamin Lock L6-4, 6-4
29.09.2026Mayank Sharma W6-1, 6-7, 6-1
13.09.2026Patrick Brady L6-1, 6-2
09.09.2026Matthew Carroll L6-4, 7-6
02.09.2026Valentin Lapalu L4-6, 6-1, 6-2

Corentin Denolly, last 10

DateOpponentScore
10.10.2026Dev Javia L6-3, 7-6
09.10.2026Toufik Sahtali W6-4, 7-5
08.10.2026Preston Brown W6-2, 6-2
06.10.2026Cahir Warik W6-0, 6-4
01.10.2026Manuel Plunger L6-4, 6-0
30.09.2026Etienne Niyigena W6-1, 6-2
12.09.2026Ignacio Monzon L6-3, 6-3
11.09.2026Niklas Guttau W4-6, 7-5, 7-6
10.09.2026Dmitry Dolzhenkov W6-3, 6-4
09.09.2026Mikhail Khodorchenko W6-4, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentToufik SahtaliCorentin Denolly
Eliakim Coulibaly 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3

Toufik Sahtali vs Corentin Denolly: quick answers

Who won Toufik Sahtali vs Corentin Denolly?

Corentin Denolly beat Toufik Sahtali 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Toufik Sahtali and Corentin Denolly?

Corentin Denolly leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Corentin Denolly 6-4, 7-5 at Rwanda Kigali II.

Who is in better form, Toufik Sahtali or Corentin Denolly?

Toufik Sahtali is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Corentin Denolly is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Toufik Sahtali and Corentin Denolly?

Toufik Sahtali is rated 6374 (ATP #875) and Corentin Denolly is rated 6382 (ATP #848). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Toufik Sahtali vs Corentin Denolly?

Toufik Sahtali is priced at +156 and Corentin Denolly at -233, which implies a 39% and 70% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.