Vesa Gjinaj vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Constanza Fernandez Rincon, giving them a 52% chance to win against Vesa Gjinaj (48%). Gjinaj is 4-6 in their last 10, Rincon 4-5. At +186, the odds imply 35% for Constanza Fernandez Rincon, below the model's 52%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Constanza Fernandez Rincon a 52% favorite. At +186 the sportsbook implies 35% for Constanza Fernandez Rincon, 17 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Constanza Fernandez Rincon at +186 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Vesa Gjinaj | Constanza Fernandez Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5964 | 5918 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2284 | WTA #2476 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 6-10 | 4-5 |
| UTR | 9.55 | 9.66 |
Head to head
Vesa Gjinaj and Constanza Fernandez Rincon haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Vesa Gjinaj, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Lila Grace Bachour | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Hana Gamracy | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Hannah Read | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Savannah Schmitz | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Kaia Giribalan | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Soledad Fayos Capilla | W | 1-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Chelsea Bluestein | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.07.2026 | Alina Shcherbinina | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.07.2026 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.07.2026 | Avery Nguyen | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Constanza Fernandez Rincon, last 9
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Maria Shmakova | L | 6-0, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Vessa Turley | W | 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Zoe Olmos | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.07.2026 | Megan Knight | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.05.2026 | Ellen Hirschi | W | 6-4, 2-6, 1-0 |
| 04.04.2026 | Zelie Bretin | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 31.03.2026 | Chen Yun Tsai | W | 4-6, 6-0, 7-6 |
| 24.02.2026 | Valentina Losciale | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 28.01.2026 | Leah Puk | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-09: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Vesa Gjinaj 47%
Vesa Gjinaj vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon: quick answers
Who will win Vesa Gjinaj vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Constanza Fernandez Rincon, giving them a 52% chance to win against Vesa Gjinaj (48%).
Have Vesa Gjinaj and Constanza Fernandez Rincon played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Vesa Gjinaj or Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Vesa Gjinaj is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Constanza Fernandez Rincon is 4-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Vesa Gjinaj and Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Vesa Gjinaj is rated 5964 (WTA #2284) and Constanza Fernandez Rincon is rated 5918 (WTA #2476). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Vesa Gjinaj vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Vesa Gjinaj is priced at -294 and Constanza Fernandez Rincon at +186, which implies a 75% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Constanza Fernandez Rincon 17 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.