Tea Lukic vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tea Lukic, giving them a 51% chance to win against Constanza Fernandez Rincon (49%). Lukic is 4-6 in their last 10, Rincon 4-5. At +700, the odds imply 12% for Constanza Fernandez Rincon, below the model's 49%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tea Lukic a 51% favorite. At +700 the sportsbook implies 12% for Constanza Fernandez Rincon, 36 points below the model's 49%.
Model minus book: -45 pts
Model minus book: +36 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Constanza Fernandez Rincon at +700 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tea Lukic | Constanza Fernandez Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6034 | 5918 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1973 | WTA #2476 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 8-11 | 4-5 |
| UTR | 9.74 | 9.66 |
Head to head
Tea Lukic and Constanza Fernandez Rincon haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Tea Lukic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Akira Roy | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kiana Huerta | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Azuna Ichioka | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Dia Evtimova | L | 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Megan Mccray | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Bella Payne | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Diana Maria Ilie | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.06.2026 | Jennifer Witthoeft | L | 2-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 12.06.2026 | Anna Marie Weissheim | L | 3-6, 7-5, 1-0 |
| 16.05.2026 | Anna Klasen | L | 6-3, 1-6, 10-8 |
Constanza Fernandez Rincon, last 9
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Maria Shmakova | L | 6-0, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Vessa Turley | W | 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Zoe Olmos | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.07.2026 | Megan Knight | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.05.2026 | Ellen Hirschi | W | 6-4, 2-6, 1-0 |
| 04.04.2026 | Zelie Bretin | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 31.03.2026 | Chen Yun Tsai | W | 4-6, 6-0, 7-6 |
| 24.02.2026 | Valentina Losciale | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 28.01.2026 | Leah Puk | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Tea Lukic 51% at -2500
Tea Lukic vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon: quick answers
Who will win Tea Lukic vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tea Lukic, giving them a 51% chance to win against Constanza Fernandez Rincon (49%).
Have Tea Lukic and Constanza Fernandez Rincon played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Tea Lukic or Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Tea Lukic is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Constanza Fernandez Rincon is 4-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tea Lukic and Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Tea Lukic is rated 6034 (WTA #1973) and Constanza Fernandez Rincon is rated 5918 (WTA #2476). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tea Lukic vs Constanza Fernandez Rincon?
Tea Lukic is priced at -2500 and Constanza Fernandez Rincon at +700, which implies a 96% and 12% chance to win. The model rates Constanza Fernandez Rincon 36 points higher than the odds do (49% vs 12%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.