Connie Ma vs Maria Sholokhova
Updated
Connie Ma beat Maria Sholokhova 4-6, 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maria Sholokhova at 73%. Connie Ma leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ma is 9-1 in their last 10, Sholokhova 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maria Sholokhova a 73% favorite. At +241 the sportsbook implies 29% for Maria Sholokhova, 43 points below the model's 73%.
Model minus book: -52 pts
Model minus book: +43 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Sholokhova at +241 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Connie Ma | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6678 | 6422 |
| Tour rank | WTA #307 | WTA #682 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 12-2 | 26-14 |
| UTR | 10.77 | 11.19 |
Head to head
Connie Ma leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Connie Ma | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 | USA Redding |
Recent form
Connie Ma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kylie Collins | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | W | 6-4, 4-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Diletta Cherubini | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Annika Penickova | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Maria Sholokhova | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jo Yee Chan | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Victoria Rodriguez | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Maria Sholokhova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Malaika Rapolu | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Zoe Hitt | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Connie Ma | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lan Mi | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Mao Mushika | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Krisha Mahendran | W | 6-7, 6-4, 10-7 |
| 04.10.2026 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Carlota Moreno | L | 4-6, 6-1, 5-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Anna Rogers | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: WTA Redding (USA), model gave Connie Ma 27% at -385
Connie Ma vs Maria Sholokhova: quick answers
Who won Connie Ma vs Maria Sholokhova?
Connie Ma beat Maria Sholokhova 4-6, 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maria Sholokhova at 73%.
What is the head-to-head record between Connie Ma and Maria Sholokhova?
Connie Ma leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Connie Ma 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 at USA Redding.
Who is in better form, Connie Ma or Maria Sholokhova?
Connie Ma is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Maria Sholokhova is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Connie Ma and Maria Sholokhova?
Connie Ma is rated 6678 (WTA #307) and Maria Sholokhova is rated 6422 (WTA #682). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Connie Ma vs Maria Sholokhova?
Connie Ma is priced at -385 and Maria Sholokhova at +241, which implies a 79% and 29% chance to win. The model rates Maria Sholokhova 43 points higher than the odds do (73% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.