Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kylie Collins, giving them a 85% chance to win against Connie Ma (15%). Connie Ma leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Collins is 4-6 in their last 10, Ma 9-1. At +193, the odds imply 34% for Kylie Collins, below the model's 85%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kylie Collins a 85% favorite. At +193 the sportsbook implies 34% for Kylie Collins, 51 points below the model's 85%.
Model minus book: +51 pts
Model minus book: -61 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kylie Collins at +193 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kylie Collins | Connie Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6607 | 6678 |
| Tour rank | WTA #388 | WTA #307 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 8-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 46-32 | 12-2 |
| UTR | 11.41 | 11.25 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1445 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Connie Ma leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Connie Ma | 6-2, 6-2 | USA New Braunfels |
Recent form
Kylie Collins, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Connie Ma | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Yeon Woo Ku | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Yeon Woo Ku | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Anastasia Abbagnato | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Hina Inoue | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Francisca Jorge | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Ivana Sebestova | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Valentina Steiner | L | 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Mia Pohankova | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Connie Ma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kylie Collins | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | W | 6-4, 4-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hanna Chang | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Diletta Cherubini | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Annika Penickova | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Maria Sholokhova | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jo Yee Chan | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Victoria Rodriguez | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kylie Collins | Connie Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Hanna Chang | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Kylie Collins 85% at +193
Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma: quick answers
Who will win Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kylie Collins, giving them a 85% chance to win against Connie Ma (15%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kylie Collins and Connie Ma?
Connie Ma leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Connie Ma 6-2, 6-2 at USA New Braunfels.
Who is in better form, Kylie Collins or Connie Ma?
Kylie Collins is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Connie Ma is 9-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kylie Collins and Connie Ma?
Kylie Collins is rated 6607 (WTA #388) and Connie Ma is rated 6678 (WTA #307). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma?
Kylie Collins is priced at +193 and Connie Ma at -313, which implies a 34% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Kylie Collins 51 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.