Clemence Mercier vs Valentina Ryser
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentina Ryser, giving them a 96% chance to win against Clemence Mercier (4%). Valentina Ryser leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mercier is 6-4 in their last 10, Ryser 4-6. At -370, the odds imply 79% for Valentina Ryser, below the model's 96%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Valentina Ryser a 96% favorite. At -370 the sportsbook implies 79% for Valentina Ryser, 17 points below the model's 96%.
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Valentina Ryser at -370 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Clemence Mercier | Valentina Ryser | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6463 | 6605 |
| Tour rank | WTA #615 | WTA #393 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 11-8 | 49-29 |
| UTR | 10.61 | 11.34 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1476 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Valentina Ryser leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | 7-5, 7-5 | Canada Toronto |
Recent form
Clemence Mercier, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Avery Alexander | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lilian Poling | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Nina Vargova | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Ellery Mendell | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Reiley Rhodes | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mariia Makarova | L | 1-6, 2-6 |
Valentina Ryser, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Andrea Cabio | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Charo Esquiva Banuls | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Daniela Vismane | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Urszula Radwanska | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Georgina Garcia Perez | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Dalma Galfi | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Clemence Mercier | Valentina Ryser |
|---|---|---|
| Yuki Naito | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-7, 6-0, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Toronto (XI) (Canada), model gave Clemence Mercier 4% at +233
Clemence Mercier vs Valentina Ryser: quick answers
Who will win Clemence Mercier vs Valentina Ryser?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Valentina Ryser, giving them a 96% chance to win against Clemence Mercier (4%).
What is the head-to-head record between Clemence Mercier and Valentina Ryser?
Valentina Ryser leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Valentina Ryser 7-5, 7-5 at Canada Toronto.
Who is in better form, Clemence Mercier or Valentina Ryser?
Clemence Mercier is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Valentina Ryser is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Clemence Mercier and Valentina Ryser?
Clemence Mercier is rated 6463 (WTA #615) and Valentina Ryser is rated 6605 (WTA #393). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Clemence Mercier vs Valentina Ryser?
Clemence Mercier is priced at +233 and Valentina Ryser at -370, which implies a 30% and 79% chance to win. The model rates Valentina Ryser 17 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 79%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.