Clemence Mercier vs Lilian Poling
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Poling, giving them a 59% chance to win against Clemence Mercier (41%). Clemence Mercier leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mercier is 6-4 in their last 10, Poling 5-5. At +135, the odds imply 43% for Lilian Poling, below the model's 59%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lilian Poling a 59% favorite. At +135 the sportsbook implies 43% for Lilian Poling, 17 points below the model's 59%.
Model minus book: -27 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lilian Poling at +135 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Clemence Mercier | Lilian Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6463 | 6174 |
| Tour rank | WTA #615 | WTA #1397 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 4-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 11-8 | 33-25 |
| UTR | 10.61 | 10.06 |
Head to head
Clemence Mercier leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | 7-5, 6-4 | Canada Saguenay |
Recent form
Clemence Mercier, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Avery Alexander | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lilian Poling | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Nina Vargova | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Ellery Mendell | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Reiley Rhodes | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Mariia Makarova | L | 1-6, 2-6 |
Lilian Poling, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Emy Gauvin | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Cadence Brace | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Luisa Hrda | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elisabeth Djabourian | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Kaat Coppez | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Milena Ciocan | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Fanny Pire | L | 4-6, 7-5, 10-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Clemence Mercier vs Lilian Poling: quick answers
Who will win Clemence Mercier vs Lilian Poling?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lilian Poling, giving them a 59% chance to win against Clemence Mercier (41%).
What is the head-to-head record between Clemence Mercier and Lilian Poling?
Clemence Mercier leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Clemence Mercier 7-5, 6-4 at Canada Saguenay.
Who is in better form, Clemence Mercier or Lilian Poling?
Clemence Mercier is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lilian Poling is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Clemence Mercier and Lilian Poling?
Clemence Mercier is rated 6463 (WTA #615) and Lilian Poling is rated 6174 (WTA #1397). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Clemence Mercier vs Lilian Poling?
Clemence Mercier is priced at -208 and Lilian Poling at +135, which implies a 68% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Lilian Poling 17 points higher than the odds do (59% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.