Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer
Updated
Mariella Thamm beat Clara Vlasselaer 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mariella Thamm leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Thamm is 7-3 in their last 10, Vlasselaer 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mariella Thamm a 53% favorite. At +168 the sportsbook implies 37% for Clara Vlasselaer, 10 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Clara Vlasselaer at +168 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mariella Thamm | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6573 | 6489 |
| Tour rank | WTA #435 | WTA #572 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-0 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-9 | 32-23 |
| UTR | 11.13 | 10.93 |
Head to head
Mariella Thamm leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Mariella Thamm | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 | France Villeneuve d'Ascq |
Recent form
Mariella Thamm, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Angela Fita Boluda | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maria Martinez Vaquero | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Emma Lene | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Stephanie Judith Visscher | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Eunchae Kim | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Savine Erler | W | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nikola Farkasova | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.07.2026 | Yihan Qu | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-2 |
Clara Vlasselaer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Vicky Van De Peer | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Liv Boulard | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Bougouffa Hanna | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Andre Lukosiute | L | 1-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mariella Thamm | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Manon Leonard | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anastasiia Firman | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mariella Thamm | Clara Vlasselaer |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Avdeeva | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Manon Leonard | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
| Stephanie Judith Visscher | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer: quick answers
Who won Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer?
Mariella Thamm beat Clara Vlasselaer 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariella Thamm and Clara Vlasselaer?
Mariella Thamm leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Mariella Thamm 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 at France Villeneuve d'Ascq.
Who is in better form, Mariella Thamm or Clara Vlasselaer?
Mariella Thamm is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Clara Vlasselaer is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mariella Thamm and Clara Vlasselaer?
Mariella Thamm is rated 6573 (WTA #435) and Clara Vlasselaer is rated 6489 (WTA #572). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mariella Thamm vs Clara Vlasselaer?
Mariella Thamm is priced at -256 and Clara Vlasselaer at +168, which implies a 72% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Clara Vlasselaer 10 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.