Mathilde Lollia vs Clara Burel

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Clara Burel beat Mathilde Lollia 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Clara Burel leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10, Burel 10-0.

Result: Clara Burel beat Mathilde Lollia 6-0, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Clara Burel a 97% favorite. At -1429 the sportsbook implies 93% for Clara Burel, 3 points below the model's 97%.

Model
3%
Book
13%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Clara Burel -1429
Model
97%
Book
93%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Clara Burel at -1429 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mathilde LolliaClara Burel
Tennis Gauge rating65296849
Tour rankWTA #499WTA #151
Last 10 matches5-510-0
Last 30 days5-14-0
Current streak1 Loss12 Wins
Season record22-2429-11
UTR10.812.07
Elo (52 weeks)–1666
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Grass

Head to head

Clara Burel leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Clara Burel6-0, 6-1Portugal Lisboa

Recent form

Mathilde Lollia, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Margaux Maquet L6-2, 6-3
28.10.2026Amandine Monnot W6-4, 6-3
20.10.2026Paula Ormaechea L7-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Clara Burel L6-0, 6-1
13.10.2026Darja Semenistaja W7-6, 5-7, 6-2
12.10.2026Loes Ebeling Koning W7-5, 4-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Maria Martinez Vaquero W3-6, 6-4, 6-2
01.10.2026Juliana Giaccio L7-5, 6-4
29.09.2026Carolyn Ansari W6-1, 6-4
18.09.2026Martha Matoula L6-0, 6-3

Clara Burel, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Marine Szostak W6-7, 6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026Marie Mattel W6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Leyre Romero Gormaz W6-4, 6-3
17.10.2026Jessica Bouzas Maneiro W6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W6-4, 6-4
15.10.2026Mathilde Lollia W6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Lina Gjorcheska W6-1, 6-3
20.09.2026Alicia Herrero Linana W4-6, 6-0, 6-2
19.09.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMathilde LolliaClara Burel
Jenny Lim 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 6-1, 3-6, 6-3
Maria Sara Popa 0-1
L 4-6, 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
Marine Szostak 2-0
W 6-4, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Mathilde Lollia 3% at +650

Mathilde Lollia vs Clara Burel: quick answers

Who won Mathilde Lollia vs Clara Burel?

Clara Burel beat Mathilde Lollia 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mathilde Lollia and Clara Burel?

Clara Burel leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Clara Burel 6-0, 6-1 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Mathilde Lollia or Clara Burel?

Mathilde Lollia is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Clara Burel is 10-0 (current streak: 12 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mathilde Lollia and Clara Burel?

Mathilde Lollia is rated 6529 (WTA #499) and Clara Burel is rated 6849 (WTA #151). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mathilde Lollia vs Clara Burel?

Mathilde Lollia is priced at +650 and Clara Burel at -1429, which implies a 13% and 93% chance to win. The model rates Clara Burel 3 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 93%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.