Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu

WTA Guangzhou (China), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 02:55.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Claire Liu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Xinran Sun (35%). Sun is 9-1 in their last 10, Liu 6-4.

Prediction

The model makes Claire Liu a 65% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Xinran Sun +141
Model
35%
Book
41%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Claire Liu -175
Model
65%
Book
64%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Claire Liu at -175 · Model track record

Player comparison

Xinran SunClaire Liu
Tennis Gauge rating67236921
Tour rankWTA #268WTA #104
Last 10 matches9-16-4
Last 30 days2-15-3
Current streak2 Wins1 Win
Season record31-1039-20
UTR11.7412.23
Elo (52 weeks)–1704
Best surface–Grass
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Xinran Sun and Claire Liu haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Xinran Sun, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Maria Timofeeva W6-3, 4-6, 7-6
27.10.2026Mananchaya Sawangkaew W6-3, 6-4
05.10.2026Coco Gauff L7-5, 6-1
03.10.2026Cristina Bucsa W6-4, 7-5
01.10.2026Eva Lys W6-1, 3-0
12.09.2026Anna Pushkareva W6-4, 4-6, 6-0
11.09.2026Chukwumelije Clarke W7-5, 0-6, 6-1
10.09.2026Mariia Makarova W7-6, 6-1
09.09.2026Kristina Penickova W7-5, 2-6, 6-1
08.09.2026Thara Gowda W6-0, 7-5

Claire Liu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Antonia Ruzic W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Magda Linette L6-4, 6-3
18.10.2026Maddison Inglis W6-4, 6-3
17.10.2026Kanon Sawashiro W6-1, 6-1
10.10.2026Lanlana Tararudee L7-6, 6-4
07.10.2026Rebecca Sramkova L7-5, 6-4
05.10.2026Elsa Jacquemot W6-1, 6-1
16.09.2026Mary Stoiana L6-3, 7-5
12.09.2026Anna Blinkova W6-0, 2-6, 7-5
11.09.2026Leolia Jeanjean W6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentXinran SunClaire Liu
Coco Gauff 0-1
L 7-5, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-7, 6-2
Ella Seidel 0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Xinran Sun 35% at +141
  • 2026-10-31: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Xinran Sun 35% at +141
  • 2026-10-30: WTA Guangzhou (China), model gave Xinran Sun 35% at +141

Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu: quick answers

Who will win Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Claire Liu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Xinran Sun (35%).

Have Xinran Sun and Claire Liu played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Xinran Sun or Claire Liu?

Xinran Sun is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Claire Liu is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Xinran Sun and Claire Liu?

Xinran Sun is rated 6723 (WTA #268) and Claire Liu is rated 6921 (WTA #104). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu?

Xinran Sun is priced at +141 and Claire Liu at -175, which implies a 41% and 64% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.