Cian Mcdonnell vs Niels Lootsma
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Niels Lootsma, giving them a 52% chance to win against Cian Mcdonnell (48%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Mcdonnell is 6-4 in their last 10, Lootsma 6-4. At +251, the odds imply 28% for Cian Mcdonnell, below the model's 48%.
Prediction
The model makes Niels Lootsma a 52% favorite. At +251 the sportsbook implies 28% for Cian Mcdonnell, 19 points below the model's 48%.
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model minus book: -29 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cian Mcdonnell at +251 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Cian Mcdonnell | Niels Lootsma | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6184 | 6217 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1691 | ATP #1506 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 8-6 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 51-49 | 62-33 |
| UTR | 12.51 | 12.65 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Cian Mcdonnell | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
| 24.09.2026 | Niels Lootsma | 6-1, 6-2 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Cian Mcdonnell, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jure Siftar | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Dominik Guzmicky | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tadeas Paroulek | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Tomas Curras Abasolo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Oriol Font | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Nathan Mansfield | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Leonid Sheyngezikht | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Niels Lootsma | W | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Niels Lootsma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Tadeas Paroulek | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Jure Siftar | W | 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Dominik Guzmicky | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Cian Mcdonnell | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aleksandar Mitev | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jasza Szajrych | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Bartosz Wojnar | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Mateusz Terczynski | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Karim Al Amin | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Felix Romeo | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Cian Mcdonnell | Niels Lootsma |
|---|---|---|
| Cas De Ruiter | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-1, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Cedric Stanke | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Claus Piening | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Dawid Wisniewski | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Dominik Guzmicky | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Dominik Recek | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Felix Romeo | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| James McGloughlin | 0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 1-6, 6-3 |
| Jim Hendrikx | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Jose Murariu | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Josh Manuel | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Jure Siftar | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| Levi Saatela | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 0-6, 6-3 |
| Marcel Hornung | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Matthew Upton | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Ondrej Hujo | 2-0 W 5-7, 7-5, 7-6, W 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-2, W 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Rein Koenders | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
3-2 W 6-3, 6-0, L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-2, W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Roland Stuurman | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ronetto Van Tilburg | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Sebastian Prechtel | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
| Stepan Baum | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Tadeas Paroulek | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Tomas Lanik | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-2 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-1, W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Twan Van Zijl | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Victor Ryden | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Cian Mcdonnell 48% at +251
- 2026-10-31: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Cian Mcdonnell 48% at +251
- 2026-10-30: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Cian Mcdonnell 48% at +251
- 2026-10-18: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Niels Lootsma 52%
- 2026-10-17: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Niels Lootsma 52%
Cian Mcdonnell vs Niels Lootsma: quick answers
Who will win Cian Mcdonnell vs Niels Lootsma?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Niels Lootsma, giving them a 52% chance to win against Cian Mcdonnell (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Cian Mcdonnell and Niels Lootsma?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Cian Mcdonnell 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Cian Mcdonnell or Niels Lootsma?
Cian Mcdonnell is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Niels Lootsma is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Cian Mcdonnell and Niels Lootsma?
Cian Mcdonnell is rated 6184 (ATP #1691) and Niels Lootsma is rated 6217 (ATP #1506). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Cian Mcdonnell vs Niels Lootsma?
Cian Mcdonnell is priced at +251 and Niels Lootsma at -435, which implies a 28% and 81% chance to win. The model rates Cian Mcdonnell 19 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 28%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.