Chun Chien Hou vs Kanta Watanabe

ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Kanta Watanabe, giving them a 54% chance to win against Chun Chien Hou (46%). Chun Chien Hou leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hou is 6-4 in their last 10, Watanabe 2-2. At +158, the odds imply 39% for Chun Chien Hou, below the model's 46%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Kanta Watanabe a 54% favorite. At +158 the sportsbook implies 39% for Chun Chien Hou, 7 points below the model's 46%.

Model
46%
Book
39%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
54%
Book
70%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Chun Chien Hou at +158 · Model track record

Player comparison

Chun Chien HouKanta Watanabe
Tennis Gauge rating62386043
Tour rankATP #1422ATP #2602
Last 10 matches6-42-2
Last 30 days1-02-0
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record13-92-2
UTR12.8213.06

Head to head

Chun Chien Hou leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Chun Chien Hou6-4, 3-6, 6-3Japan Tanagura

Recent form

Chun Chien Hou, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Hugo Hashimoto L6-1, 7-6
23.10.2026Jumpei Yamasaki W6-3, 6-1
22.10.2026Kanta Watanabe W6-4, 3-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Shinji Hazawa W6-4, 2-6, 6-2
24.08.2026Ryuki Matsuda L6-3, 7-6
23.08.2026Ke Hau Hung W6-2, 6-2
17.08.2026Nitin Kumar Sinha L6-3, 6-3
16.08.2026Hao Yu Lin W6-2, 3-6, 1-0
16.07.2026Jangjun Kim L6-3, 6-2
15.07.2026Kanan Gasimov W6-3, 6-4

Kanta Watanabe, last 4

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Hugo Hashimoto L6-0, 4-1
22.10.2026Chun Chien Hou L6-4, 3-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Daia Kurabayashi W6-0, 6-0
20.10.2026Daia Kurabayashi W6-0, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentChun Chien HouKanta Watanabe
Hugo Hashimoto 0-1
L 6-1, 7-6
0-1
L 6-0, 4-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Chun Chien Hou 46% at +158

Chun Chien Hou vs Kanta Watanabe: quick answers

Who will win Chun Chien Hou vs Kanta Watanabe?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Kanta Watanabe, giving them a 54% chance to win against Chun Chien Hou (46%).

What is the head-to-head record between Chun Chien Hou and Kanta Watanabe?

Chun Chien Hou leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Chun Chien Hou 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 at Japan Tanagura.

Who is in better form, Chun Chien Hou or Kanta Watanabe?

Chun Chien Hou is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kanta Watanabe is 2-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Chun Chien Hou and Kanta Watanabe?

Chun Chien Hou is rated 6238 (ATP #1422) and Kanta Watanabe is rated 6043 (ATP #2602). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Chun Chien Hou vs Kanta Watanabe?

Chun Chien Hou is priced at +158 and Kanta Watanabe at -233, which implies a 39% and 70% chance to win. The model rates Chun Chien Hou 7 points higher than the odds do (46% vs 39%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.