Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha Mcneil

WTA Austin (XI) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Varvara Lepchenko, giving them a 91% chance to win against Christasha Mcneil (9%). Varvara Lepchenko leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lepchenko is 4-6 in their last 10, Mcneil 4-6. At -667, the odds imply 87% for Varvara Lepchenko, below the model's 91%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Varvara Lepchenko a 91% favorite. At -667 the sportsbook implies 87% for Varvara Lepchenko, 4 points below the model's 91%.

Model
91%
Book
87%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
9%
Book
23%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Varvara Lepchenko at -667 · Model track record

Player comparison

Varvara LepchenkoChristasha Mcneil
Tennis Gauge rating67806437
Tour rankWTA #214WTA #657
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days4-22-2
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record25-2918-18
UTR11.6210.5
Elo (52 weeks)1548–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceGrass–

Head to head

Varvara Lepchenko leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Varvara Lepchenko6-0, 6-4USA Austin

Recent form

Varvara Lepchenko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Cristina Ramos Sierra W6-3, 6-4
19.10.2026Christasha Mcneil W6-0, 6-4
16.10.2026Julieta Pareja L6-2, 3-6, 6-0
14.10.2026Nadia Podoroska W6-2, 2-6, 6-2
29.09.2026Aliaksandra Sasnovich L6-4, 6-1
28.09.2026Ulrikke Eikeri W6-2, 6-4
13.09.2026Alycia Parks L6-3, 1-6, 7-5
09.09.2026Claire Liu L6-3, 6-3
07.9.2026Katrina Scott W7-6, 6-1
25.08.2026Gabriela Andrea Knutson L6-1, 7-5

Christasha Mcneil, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Varvara Lepchenko L6-0, 6-4
18.10.2026Evialina Laskevich W7-6, 2-6, 6-4
15.10.2026Salma Drugdova L6-1, 6-1
14.10.2026Diletta Cherubini W6-4, 4-6, 6-1
21.09.2026Emma Kamper Malmkjaer L6-1, 4-6, 6-4
29.07.2026Piper Charney L6-2, 6-3
17.07.2026Hanna Chang L6-0, 6-2
16.07.2026Maria Kononova W6-2, 6-2
14.07.2026Boyoung Jeong W6-1, 6-1
09.07.2026Haruka Kaji L5-7, 7-6, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha Mcneil: quick answers

Who will win Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha Mcneil?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Varvara Lepchenko, giving them a 91% chance to win against Christasha Mcneil (9%).

What is the head-to-head record between Varvara Lepchenko and Christasha Mcneil?

Varvara Lepchenko leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Varvara Lepchenko 6-0, 6-4 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Varvara Lepchenko or Christasha Mcneil?

Varvara Lepchenko is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Christasha Mcneil is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Varvara Lepchenko and Christasha Mcneil?

Varvara Lepchenko is rated 6780 (WTA #214) and Christasha Mcneil is rated 6437 (WTA #657). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha Mcneil?

Varvara Lepchenko is priced at -667 and Christasha Mcneil at +334, which implies a 87% and 23% chance to win. The model rates Varvara Lepchenko 4 points higher than the odds do (91% vs 87%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.