Chiara Fornasieri vs Matilde Mariani
Updated
Chiara Fornasieri beat Matilde Mariani 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Chiara Fornasieri leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fornasieri is 7-3 in their last 10, Mariani 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Chiara Fornasieri a 66% favorite. At -164 the sportsbook implies 62% for Chiara Fornasieri, 4 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Chiara Fornasieri at -164 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Chiara Fornasieri | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6335 | 6225 |
| Tour rank | WTA #893 | WTA #1227 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 9-6 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-17 | 54-41 |
| UTR | 10.58 | 10.12 |
Head to head
Chiara Fornasieri leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Chiara Fornasieri | 6-2, 6-1 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula |
Recent form
Chiara Fornasieri, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Matilde Paoletti | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Matilde Mariani | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Federica Bilardo | W | 6-3, 3-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lujza Beviz | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Anika Jaskova | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lana Virc | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Patricia Georgiana Goina | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Viola Turini | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alessandra Fiorillo | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 15.09.2026 | Barbara Dessolis | W | 6-2, 0-6, 10-7 |
Matilde Mariani, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Despina Papamichail | L | 6-0, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maria Toma | W | 5-7, 6-3, 10-8 |
| 19.10.2026 | Antoinette Chastang Cooper | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kristina Nordikyan | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Elena Goodman | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Chiara Fornasieri | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marley Lambert | L | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kristina Nordikyan | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Judit Hernandez Miranda | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Nicole Andrea Molaro | L | 6-4, 4-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Chiara Fornasieri | Matilde Mariani |
|---|---|---|
| Oriana Gniewkowska | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 10-8 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (X) (Italy), model gave Chiara Fornasieri 66% at -164
Chiara Fornasieri vs Matilde Mariani: quick answers
Who won Chiara Fornasieri vs Matilde Mariani?
Chiara Fornasieri beat Matilde Mariani 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Chiara Fornasieri and Matilde Mariani?
Chiara Fornasieri leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Chiara Fornasieri 6-2, 6-1 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.
Who is in better form, Chiara Fornasieri or Matilde Mariani?
Chiara Fornasieri is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matilde Mariani is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Chiara Fornasieri and Matilde Mariani?
Chiara Fornasieri is rated 6335 (WTA #893) and Matilde Mariani is rated 6225 (WTA #1227). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Chiara Fornasieri vs Matilde Mariani?
Chiara Fornasieri is priced at -164 and Matilde Mariani at +113, which implies a 62% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Chiara Fornasieri 4 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.