Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Updated
Chengyiyi Yuan beat Ekaterina Ovcharenko 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ekaterina Ovcharenko at 60%. Chengyiyi Yuan leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Yuan is 7-3 in their last 10, Ovcharenko 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ekaterina Ovcharenko a 60% favorite. At -133 the sportsbook implies 57% for Ekaterina Ovcharenko, 3 points below the model's 60%.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ekaterina Ovcharenko at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6545 | 6490 |
| Tour rank | WTA #478 | WTA #569 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 48-32 | 18-23 |
| UTR | 10.97 | 10.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1163 | 1308 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Chengyiyi Yuan leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | 6-1, 6-4 | China Shenzhen |
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | 6-1, 6-4 | China Shenzhen |
Recent form
Chengyiyi Yuan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Daria Zelinskaya | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ksenia Efremova | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Yidi Yang | L | 7-6, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Cheuk Ying Shek | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sijia Wei | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hong Yi Cody Wong | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Yiming Dang | W | 3-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Han Shi | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Wushuang Zheng | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Junlu Sun | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Junlu Sun | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Liuyan An | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Fiona Crawley | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Kaitlin Quevedo | W | 6-1, 0-6, 7-6 |
| 23.08.2026 | Esha Velaga | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Chengyiyi Yuan | Ekaterina Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | 2-1 W 1-6, 6-2, 6-1, W 4-6, 6-1, 7-5, L 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
| Junlu Sun | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-2, W 7-5, 7-5 |
| Liuyan An | 2-0 W 6-3, 7-6, W 6-1, 5-7, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Sara Saito | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
| Yidi Yang | 0-1 L 7-6, 1-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Shenzhen (China), model gave Chengyiyi Yuan 40% at +111
Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko: quick answers
Who won Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Chengyiyi Yuan beat Ekaterina Ovcharenko 6-1, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Ekaterina Ovcharenko at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Chengyiyi Yuan and Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Chengyiyi Yuan leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Chengyiyi Yuan 6-1, 6-4 at China Shenzhen.
Who is in better form, Chengyiyi Yuan or Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Chengyiyi Yuan is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Ekaterina Ovcharenko is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Chengyiyi Yuan and Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Chengyiyi Yuan is rated 6545 (WTA #478) and Ekaterina Ovcharenko is rated 6490 (WTA #569). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Chengyiyi Yuan is priced at +111 and Ekaterina Ovcharenko at -133, which implies a 47% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Ekaterina Ovcharenko 3 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.