Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu

ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Maks Kasnikowski beat Cezar Cretu 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maks Kasnikowski leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10, Cretu 7-3.

Result: Maks Kasnikowski beat Cezar Cretu 6-2, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maks Kasnikowski a 57% favorite. At +198 the sportsbook implies 34% for Cezar Cretu, 9 points below the model's 43%.

Model
57%
Book
75%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model
43%
Book
34%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Cezar Cretu at +198 · Model track record

Player comparison

Maks KasnikowskiCezar Cretu
Tennis Gauge rating67026625
Tour rankATP #215ATP #314
Last 10 matches5-57-3
Last 30 days0-11-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record50-3039-23
UTR14.4614.45
Elo (52 weeks)14931510
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Maks Kasnikowski leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski6-2, 6-1Italy Olbia

Recent form

Maks Kasnikowski, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Aidan Mayo L6-2, 6-7, 7-5
27.10.2026James Trotter W6-1, 6-2
17.10.2026Damir Dzumhur L6-1, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
16.10.2026Stefano Travaglia W6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Andrea Guerrieri W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Cezar Cretu W6-2, 6-1
07.10.2026Philip Henning L7-6, 6-1
19.09.2026Alex De Minaur L6-3, 6-0
12.09.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L7-6, 6-4

Cezar Cretu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Leo Borg W6-2, 6-4
28.10.2026Yshai Oliel W6-4, 4-6, 6-3
25.10.2026Amit Vales L6-2, 6-3
24.10.2026Fons Van Sambeek W6-3, 7-5
23.10.2026Jakub Filip W6-2, 6-4
22.10.2026Ioannis Kountourakis W6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Valentin Gonzalez Galino W6-3, 6-3
12.10.2026Maks Kasnikowski L6-2, 6-1
29.09.2026Henrique Rocha L7-5, 6-3
18.09.2026Gunawan Trismuwantara W6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMaks KasnikowskiCezar Cretu
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
Iliyan Radulov 1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 7-5
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Lorenzo Giustino 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
Miguel Damas 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
Sumit Nagal 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-0
0-2
L 6-2, 6-4, L 6-3, 4-6, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Olbia (X) (Italy), model gave Maks Kasnikowski 57% at -294

Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu: quick answers

Who won Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu?

Maks Kasnikowski beat Cezar Cretu 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Maks Kasnikowski and Cezar Cretu?

Maks Kasnikowski leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Maks Kasnikowski 6-2, 6-1 at Italy Olbia.

Who is in better form, Maks Kasnikowski or Cezar Cretu?

Maks Kasnikowski is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Cezar Cretu is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Maks Kasnikowski and Cezar Cretu?

Maks Kasnikowski is rated 6702 (ATP #215) and Cezar Cretu is rated 6625 (ATP #314). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu?

Maks Kasnikowski is priced at -294 and Cezar Cretu at +198, which implies a 75% and 34% chance to win. The model rates Cezar Cretu 9 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.