Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva

WTA Wuhan (China), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

Caty Mcnally beat Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6, 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Caty Mcnally leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mcnally is 5-5 in their last 10, Starodubtseva 4-6.

Result: Caty Mcnally beat Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6, 7-6, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Caty Mcnally a 54% favorite. At +143 the sportsbook implies 41% for Yuliia Starodubtseva, 5 points below the model's 46%.

Model
54%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
46%
Book
41%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yuliia Starodubtseva at +143 · Model track record

Player comparison

Caty McnallyYuliia Starodubtseva
Tennis Gauge rating70587014
Tour rankWTA #42WTA #57
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days2-10-1
Current streak2 Losses5 Losses
Season record29-2431-30
UTR12.4512.23
Elo (52 weeks)18371747
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Caty Mcnally leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Caty Mcnally2-6, 7-6, 6-4China Wuhan
09.03.2026Caty Mcnally7-5, 4-6, 6-4USA Austin

Recent form

Caty Mcnally, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Sinja Kraus L6-4, 3-1
14.10.2026Karolina Muchova L3-6, 7-6, 7-6
12.10.2026Yuliia Starodubtseva W2-6, 7-6, 6-4
11.10.2026Lanlana Tararudee W6-4, 4-6, 6-1
10.10.2026Yue Yuan W6-2, 6-3
30.09.2026Dayana Yastremska L6-3, 6-4
02.09.2026Emma Navarro L3-6, 6-2, 6-3
31.08.2026Anouk Koevermans W7-5, 6-1
15.08.2026Anna Kalinskaya L6-3, 6-4
14.08.2026Mccartney Kessler W6-3, 6-4

Yuliia Starodubtseva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Aliaksandra Sasnovich L6-4, 7-5
17.10.2026Anastasia Zakharova L6-1, 7-5
12.10.2026Caty Mcnally L2-6, 7-6, 6-4
01.10.2026Alina Charaeva L5-7, 7-5, 6-2
06.09.2026Elena Rybakina L7-6, 6-3
04.09.2026Maria Sakkari W1-6, 7-6, 6-2
01.09.2026Ella Seidel W6-2, 6-2
28.08.2026Elise Mertens L6-1, 6-4
26.08.2026Janice Tjen W6-4, 6-3
24.08.2026Lilli Tagger W6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentCaty McnallyYuliia Starodubtseva
Ajla Tomljanovic 1-1
L 6-4, 6-4, W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 4-6, 7-6, 6-1
Antonia Ruzic 1-0
W 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
Elena Gabriela Ruse 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 6-1
Elena Rybakina 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
1-1
L 7-6, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-1, 7-6
Emma Navarro 1-1
L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-0, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4
Janice Tjen 1-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Katie Volynets 2-0
W 6-1, 6-2, W 1-6, 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 7-5, 2-6, 6-2
Mccartney Kessler 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Solana Sierra 1-1
W 6-4, 6-3, L 1-6, 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Xiyu Wang 1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Caty Mcnally 54% at -169

Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva: quick answers

Who won Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva?

Caty Mcnally beat Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6, 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Caty Mcnally and Yuliia Starodubtseva?

Caty Mcnally leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Caty Mcnally 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 at China Wuhan.

Who is in better form, Caty Mcnally or Yuliia Starodubtseva?

Caty Mcnally is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yuliia Starodubtseva is 4-6 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Caty Mcnally and Yuliia Starodubtseva?

Caty Mcnally is rated 7058 (WTA #42) and Yuliia Starodubtseva is rated 7014 (WTA #57). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva?

Caty Mcnally is priced at -169 and Yuliia Starodubtseva at +143, which implies a 63% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Yuliia Starodubtseva 5 points higher than the odds do (46% vs 41%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.