Karolina Muchova vs Caty Mcnally
Updated
Karolina Muchova beat Caty Mcnally 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Karolina Muchova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Muchova is 7-3 in their last 10, Mcnally 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karolina Muchova a 84% favorite. At -435 the sportsbook implies 81% for Karolina Muchova, 3 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karolina Muchova at -435 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Karolina Muchova | Caty Mcnally | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7145 | 7058 |
| Tour rank | WTA #9 | WTA #42 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-13 | 29-24 |
| UTR | 12.86 | 12.45 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1992 | 1821 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Karolina Muchova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Karolina Muchova | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 | China Wuhan |
Recent form
Karolina Muchova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Caty Mcnally | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Katie Boulter | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 04.09.2026 | Emma Navarro | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 02.09.2026 | Katie Boulter | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Caty Mcnally, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Sinja Kraus | L | 6-4, 3-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Karolina Muchova | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Lanlana Tararudee | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Yue Yuan | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Emma Navarro | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Anouk Koevermans | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 15.08.2026 | Anna Kalinskaya | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.08.2026 | Mccartney Kessler | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Karolina Muchova | Caty Mcnally |
|---|---|---|
| Ajla Tomljanovic | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-4, W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Alexandra Eala | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Antonia Ruzic | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Elena Rybakina | 1-1 L 7-5, 6-1, W 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Emma Navarro | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
| Iga Swiatek | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Karolina Pliskova | 1-0 W 5-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Linda Noskova | 0-1 L 6-2, 5-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Sinja Kraus | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-1 |
| Victoria Mboko | 2-0 W 7-5, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-5 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-1, L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Karolina Muchova 84% at -435
Karolina Muchova vs Caty Mcnally: quick answers
Who won Karolina Muchova vs Caty Mcnally?
Karolina Muchova beat Caty Mcnally 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Karolina Muchova and Caty Mcnally?
Karolina Muchova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Karolina Muchova 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Karolina Muchova or Caty Mcnally?
Karolina Muchova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Caty Mcnally is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Karolina Muchova and Caty Mcnally?
Karolina Muchova is rated 7145 (WTA #9) and Caty Mcnally is rated 7058 (WTA #42). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Karolina Muchova vs Caty Mcnally?
Karolina Muchova is priced at -435 and Caty Mcnally at +348, which implies a 81% and 22% chance to win. The model rates Karolina Muchova 3 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 81%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.