Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
Updated
Casper Ruud beat Learner Tien 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Casper Ruud leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tien is 5-5 in their last 10, Ruud 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Casper Ruud a 55% favorite. At +133 the sportsbook implies 43% for Casper Ruud, 12 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Casper Ruud at +133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Learner Tien | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6951 | 6936 |
| Tour rank | ATP #12 | ATP #19 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-24 | 37-21 |
| UTR | 16.01 | 16.04 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1939 | 1940 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Casper Ruud leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | 6-4, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Learner Tien, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Zachary Svajda | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-3, 2-6, 10-7 |
| 19.09.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 18.09.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
Casper Ruud, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Nuno Borges | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | W | 5-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Learner Tien | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Bu Yunchaokete | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 6-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
| 19.09.2026 | Fnu Nidunjianzan | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Learner Tien | Casper Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Alexander Blockx | 1-0 W 4-3, 4-2, 4-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Alexander Bublik | 2-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 7-6, W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 15-14, 18-8, 20-4 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | 1-0 W 6-2, 5-7, 6-1, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
| Ben Shelton | 1-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
1-1 W 5-2, L 7-5, 2-2 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2, 7-6 |
| Jakub Mensik | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-4, W 6-3, 1-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Karen Khachanov | 0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-1, 1-6, 6-2, W 9-10, 17-6, 14-9, 14-10 |
| Marcos Giron | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Mariano Navone | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
| Marin Cilic | 1-1 L 7-5, 7-6, W 7-5, 4-6, 10-7 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Nuno Borges | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-1, 6-2, W 7-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rafael Jodar | 0-2 L 6-1, 6-4, L 1-4, 4-3, 1-4, 4-2, 4-3 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Tommy Paul | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-2, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Zachary Svajda | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Learner Tien 45% at -169
Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: quick answers
Who won Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud?
Casper Ruud beat Learner Tien 6-4, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud?
Casper Ruud leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Casper Ruud 6-4, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Learner Tien or Casper Ruud?
Learner Tien is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Casper Ruud is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Learner Tien and Casper Ruud?
Learner Tien is rated 6951 (ATP #12) and Casper Ruud is rated 6936 (ATP #19). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud?
Learner Tien is priced at -169 and Casper Ruud at +133, which implies a 63% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Casper Ruud 12 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.